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新疆地区物候测报模式的统计研究
引用本文:杨国栋,徐克.新疆地区物候测报模式的统计研究[J].首都师范大学学报(自然科学版),1991(1).
作者姓名:杨国栋  徐克
作者单位:北京师范学院地理系 (杨国栋),新疆师范大学地理系(徐克)
摘    要:作者利用新疆维吾尔自治区32个地点6种树木物候发生期的记录,进行了两两之间的相关、回归分析,得到了15个回归方程式。回报检验的历史拟合情况良好,为当地提供了一组进行春夏期间物候测报的数学工具。

关 键 词:时空序列样本  物候测报模式  新疆

A Statistical Study on Phenological Forecasting Models in Xinjiang Area
Yang Guodong,Xu Ke.A Statistical Study on Phenological Forecasting Models in Xinjiang Area[J].Journal of Capital Normal University(Natural Science Edition),1991(1).
Authors:Yang Guodong  Xu Ke
Abstract:In this paper, the author makes use of the data of 6 kinds of trees/phenology in 32 observation stations in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous region,with the correlation and regression analysis of every two of them, and obtains15 regression equations. The test results show that the historical fitting ofthe equations is quite good. Thus, these regression equations offer a group ofmathematical tools for doing phenological forecast in the period of springand summer in Xinjiang area.
Keywords:sample of time-space series  phenological forecasting models  Xinjiang
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