| 基于预期机制的供应链产品转移价格混沌预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 路应金,唐小我,张勇. 基于预期机制的供应链产品转移价格混沌预测研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2007, 27(1): 45-50. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2007)1-45 |
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| 作者姓名： | 路应金 唐小我 张勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 电子科技大学管理学院,成都,610054 |
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| 基金项目： | 高等学校博士学科点专项科研项目;国家自然科学基金;中国博士后科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 将供应链管理系统中与原材料和产品流动过程有关的产品转移价格作为上游企业基于提前期内下游企业对产品的反馈信息作出的预期价格.提出了预期机制下供应链产品的非线性、非均衡转移定价模型,研究了供应链管理系统产品转移价格决策的混沌动力行为,并基于最大Lyapunov指数对供应链产品转移价格进行预测.最后,通过实例进行分析其应用价值.
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| 关 键 词： | 转移价格 预期机制,混沌预测 最大Lyapunov指数 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6788(2007)01-0045-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-10-25 |
Study on Chaotic Prediction of Transfer Price in a Supply Chain under Rational Expectation |
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| LU Ying-jin,TANG Xiao-wo,ZHANG Yong. Study on Chaotic Prediction of Transfer Price in a Supply Chain under Rational Expectation[J]. Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice, 2007, 27(1): 45-50. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2007)1-45 |
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| Authors: | LU Ying-jin TANG Xiao-wo ZHANG Yong |
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| Abstract: | The existence of prediction mechanism in the trades among participants in the supply chain management system,therefore,transfer price and price decision,both of them are related to raw material,products and the pass process of information has a nonlinear character and great importance in the study on the complexity of the supply chain management.Aimed at the nonlinear mechanism of the transfer price and market price in a supply chain,the paper,based on chaotic theory and their methods and investigates the chaotic dynamical behaviors in the transfer pricing.Predictions are made from the price sequences of the supplies in supply chains based on the maximum Lyapunov exponent.Also examples are given to show the application of this method. |
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| Keywords: | transfer price prediction mechanism chaotic forecast the maximum Lyapunov exponent |
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