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基于规模视角的系统重要性银行研究
引用本文:陆静,胡晓红.基于规模视角的系统重要性银行研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(8):1952-1962.
作者姓名:陆静  胡晓红
作者单位:1. 重庆大学 经济与工商管理学院, 重庆 400030;2. 中国农业银行 重庆市分行, 重庆 400011
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(71373296,71232004,71272085);教育部人文社会科学基金(12YJA630135)
摘    要:在放松对银行规模等级设定的基础上,构建了更具一般性和可操作性的改进的三银行模型. 通过引入基于多元极值理论和L函数的三种银行系统重要性指数,规范分析了银行规模对系统重要性的影响. 研究发现,规模是构成银行系统重要性的必要条件但不是充分条件. 同时,运用中国14家上市银行A股交易数据对银行规模与系统重要性的相互关系进行了实证检验,结果与改进的三银行模型基本一致. 无论从理论还是实证角度来看,规模对银行的系统重要性具有重要影响,但当银行规模达到一定程度后,其影响将被弱化,这对于识别和监管系统重要性银行具有重要的理论意义和应用价值.

关 键 词:系统重要性银行  银行规模  多元极值理论  改进的三银行模型  
收稿时间:2012-11-09

Measurement of systemically important banks based on size
LU Jing,HU Xiao-hong.Measurement of systemically important banks based on size[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2014,34(8):1952-1962.
Authors:LU Jing  HU Xiao-hong
Institution:1. School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China;2. Chongqing Branch, Agricultural Bank of China, Chongqing 400011, China
Abstract:After loosening the hypothesis of bank size, this paper developed an improved three-bank model to analyze the relation between bank size and its systemic importance. By introducing L function, multivariate extreme theory and three indexes of banking systemic importance, the paper analyzed the impact of size on banks' systemic importance, and found that bank size is the necessary condition of the systemic importance, but not the sufficient condition. In addition, this study conducted an empirical analysis by examining the trading data of 14 listed commercial banks in China. The results were basically in accord with our theoretical prediction. Both the theory and empirical results point out that the size has played a critical role in banks' systemic importance and its impact would be weakened as soon as the size reaches some threshold. This study has theoretical and practical value for the identification and supervision of banks' systemic importance.
Keywords:systemically important banks  bank size  multivariate extreme value theory  improved three-bank model  
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