| 基于前景理论与理想解法的应急预案评估模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱兴林,温喜梅.基于前景理论与理想解法的应急预案评估模型[J].科学技术与工程,2020,20(29):12125-12130. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱兴林 温喜梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆农业大学交通与物流工程学院,乌鲁木齐830052;新疆农业大学交通与物流工程学院,乌鲁木齐830052 |
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| 基金项目： | 稀疏路网下高速公路沿线应急资源点配置及调度优化 |
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| 摘 要： | 为对突发事件救援确定最优应急预案、提高救援效率。通过选取全面性、时效性、经济性、可操作性四个指标，基于前景理论以及TOPSIS法对应急预案优劣排序。首先，专家根据打分标准给出各指标下预案的属性值，并利用Shapley值集结指标；其次，利用直觉模糊熵计算各专家权重值，确定最优方案。以选择最优的应急预案为例，结果表明方法的可行性与实用性。
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| 关 键 词： | 应急预案 前景理论 直觉梯形模糊数 Shapley值 理想解法(TOPSIS) |
| 收稿时间： | 2019/10/24 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2020/6/24 0:00:00 |
Research on Emergency Plan Evaluation Model Based on Prospect Theory and TOPSIS Method |
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| zhuxinglin,wenximei.Research on Emergency Plan Evaluation Model Based on Prospect Theory and TOPSIS Method[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2020,20(29):12125-12130. |
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| Authors: | zhuxinglin wenximei |
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| Institution: | Xinjiang Agricultural University |
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| Abstract: | In order to determine the optimal emergency plan for emergency rescue and improve rescue efficiency. Four indicators of comprehensiveness, timeliness, economy and operability were selected, and the pros and cons of the emergency plan were ranked based on the prospect theory and the TOPSIS method. Firstly, the experts gave the attribute values of the plans under each indicator according to the scoring standard, and used the Shapley value to aggregate the indicators. Secondly, the intuitionistic fuzzy entropy was used to calculate the weight values of each expert to determine the optimal solution. Taking the selection of the optimal emergency plan as an example, the results show the feasibility and practicability of the method. |
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| Keywords: | emergency plan prospect theory intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy number Shapley value TOPSIS method |
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