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系统动力学在战略风险评价及控制中的适用性
引用本文:唐伟,雷星晖,李玲玲.系统动力学在战略风险评价及控制中的适用性[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2012,40(4):0645-0659.
作者姓名:唐伟  雷星晖  李玲玲
作者单位:同济大学经济与管理学院,上海,200092
摘    要:现有的战略风险评价方法有着不同程度的局限性.随着系统动力学(system dynamics,SD)在管理领域应用的逐步扩展,将其用于管理控制的研究也开始出现.通过研究系统动力学方法在战略风险评价和控制中的适用性,依据战略风险的特点建立系统基模,并进行系统仿真,以证明系统动力学方法在战略风险的评价与控制中的有效性及优势.

关 键 词:系统动力学  战略性风险评价及控制  系统基模  系统仿真
收稿时间:1/17/2011 1:38:34 PM
修稿时间:1/6/2012 8:07:35 AM

Applicability of System Dynamics to Strategic Risk Assessment and Control
TANG Wei,LEI Xinghui and LI Lingling.Applicability of System Dynamics to Strategic Risk Assessment and Control[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),2012,40(4):0645-0659.
Authors:TANG Wei  LEI Xinghui and LI Lingling
Institution:Tongji University,Tongji University
Abstract:There exist different limitations for existing strategic risk assessment methods. With the increasing application of system dynamics (SD) in management area, there appeared the study of SD application in management control. The paper proved effectiveness and advantages of SD in strategic risk assessment and control by means of studying the applicability of SD for strategic risk assessment and control, establishing system archetypes in accordance with characteristics of strategic risk, as well as making system simulation.
Keywords:system dynamics  strategic risk assessment and control  Systems Archetypes  system simulation
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