| 广东省进出口额关系的实证分析——基于协整理论与误差修正模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄宇元,洪丰. 广东省进出口额关系的实证分析——基于协整理论与误差修正模型[J]. 佛山科学技术学院学报(自然科学版), 2011, 29(4): 11-14 |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄宇元 洪丰 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南师范大学数学科学学院,广东广州,510631 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(10971073) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据协整理论和误差修正模型,对广东省进出口额关系进行实证分析,建立计量经济模型,得到进出口的长期及短期变化关系,研究结果表明：进口对出口起促进作用,当期出口额受前期出口的影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 广东省 进出口关系 协整理论 误差修正模型 实证分析 |
A positive analysis on the relations between import and export trade of Guangdong province |
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| HUANG Yu-yuan,HONG Feng. A positive analysis on the relations between import and export trade of Guangdong province[J]. Journal of Foshan University(Natural Science Edition), 2011, 29(4): 11-14 |
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| Authors: | HUANG Yu-yuan HONG Feng |
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| Affiliation: | HUANG Yu-yuan,HONG Feng(School of Mathematical Sciences,South China Normal University,Guangzhou 510631,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of co-integration and the error correction model,the paper makes a positive analysis on the relations between import and export trade of Guangdong province and builds the econometric model which is used to generate both short-and long-term relations between import and export trade.It is found that import acts as a stimulus to export and the previous export has some effect on the current export. |
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| Keywords: | Guangdong province relations between import and export trade theory of co-integration error correction model positive analysis. |
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