| 混沌算子网络在经济数据预测中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 邹晓玫,修春波.混沌算子网络在经济数据预测中的应用研究[J].广西大学学报(自然科学版),2011,36(5):796-801. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邹晓玫 修春波 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 天津商业大学法学院,天津300134;2.南开大学周恩来政府管理学院,天津300071
2. 天津工业大学电气工程与自动化学院,天津,300160 |
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| 基金项目： | 天津商业大学青年科研培育基金(091116); 天津市自然科学基金资助项目(2010TSTC0072) |
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| 摘 要： | 采用多个混沌算子单元组成一种新的预测网络,实现经济数据的预测分析.利用已知数据构造出训练样本,通过调节混沌算子单元的控制参数来控制其动力学特性,以此改变预测网络的动力学行为,使预测网络的动力学特性逐渐逼近被预测系统,并随之一致变化,从而实现时间序列的动态预测分析.利用该方法对国内生产总值和国民总收入等经济数据进行了预测...
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| 关 键 词： | 混沌 预测 时间序列 经济数据 |
Economic data forecast based on chaotic operators network |
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| ZOU Xiao-mei,XIU Chun-bo.Economic data forecast based on chaotic operators network[J].Journal of Guangxi University(Natural Science Edition),2011,36(5):796-801. |
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| Authors: | ZOU Xiao-mei XIU Chun-bo |
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| Institution: | ZOU Xiao-mei1,2,XIU Chun-bo3(1.School of Law,Tianjin University of Commerce,Tianjin 300134,China,2.Zhou Enlai School of Government,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,3.School of Electrical Engineering and Automation,Tianjin Polytechnic University,Tianjin 300160,China) |
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| Abstract: | Forecast analysis of economic data is realized by a new prediction network composed of multiple chaotic operators.Training samples are constructed by given data,and the dynamic characteristics of chaotic operator is controlled by adjusting control parameters.In this way,the dynamic behavior of the prediction network is changed to approach to the predicted system.Thereby,dynamic forecasts of some economic data,such as gross domestic product,gross national income,are realized by the prediction model.The exper... |
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| Keywords: | chaos forecast time series economic data |
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