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基于缓冲算子的灰色瓦斯涌出量预测研究
引用本文:吴龙山.基于缓冲算子的灰色瓦斯涌出量预测研究[J].科技情报开发与经济,2011,21(30):173-176.
作者姓名:吴龙山
作者单位:同煤集团梵王寺煤矿筹备组,山西朔州,036002
摘    要:基于灰色GM(1,1)预测模型的构建理论,尝试引入缓冲算子来消除瓦斯涌出量原始数据序列所受到的冲击扰动,并利用MATLAB语言编程实现瓦斯涌出量灰色GM(1,1)预测模型程序化运算,选择合理的精度检验方法对预测模型和结果进行检验判断。通过工程实例,证明了引入缓冲算子改进的GM(1,1)模型预测精度和拟合优度更高,可为煤矿企业正确决策提供一定的理论依据。

关 键 词:灰色预测模型  GM(1  1)模型  缓冲算子  MATLAB  瓦斯涌出量

Study on Grey Forecasting of Gas Emission Based on Buffer Operator
WU Long-shan.Study on Grey Forecasting of Gas Emission Based on Buffer Operator[J].Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy,2011,21(30):173-176.
Authors:WU Long-shan
Institution:WU Long-shan
Abstract:Based on the construction theory of GM (1,1) forecasting model, this paper tries to introduce buffer operator to eliminate the shock disturbance on original data sequence of gas emission, and through programming with MATLAB language, realizes the programmed operation of grey GM (1,1) forecasting model of gas emission, and selecting reasonable accuracy testing method, makes the inspection and judgment of the forecasting model and results, and through the engineering sample, proves that the forecasting precis...
Keywords:grey forecasting model  GM (1  1) model  buffer operator  MATLAB  gas emission  
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