基于Petri网的某型导弹单发任务完成概率仿真

任务成功概率是任务成功性的概率度量,指在规定的任务剖面内,产品能完成规定任务的概率。使用基于Petri网原理的ExSpect仿真软件,对单发导弹的任务流程进行了模拟,首先构建基本任务的仿真模型,在此基础上针对导弹整体任务流程构建了仿真模型,并计算其任务完成概率,最后通过应用实例验证模型的可行性。

Mission Completion Success Probability Simulation of One Missile Based on Petri Net

Mission completion success probability means the weapon system to fulfill the probability its mission in a prescribe task profile. The task of missile is simulated in the ExSpect simulation software which is based on the theory of Petri Net. Firstly the basic task is modeled,based on it,the complex task of missile is modeled. With the complex missile task model,the mission completion success probability is computed and the feasibility of the model is validated in an example.