| 我国出口信用保险对出口促进作用的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 何慎远,李斌,庞淑娟,汪寿阳. 我国出口信用保险对出口促进作用的实证研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2011, 31(5): 792-798. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2011)5-792 |
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| 作者姓名： | 何慎远 李斌 庞淑娟 汪寿阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院 虚拟经济与数据科学研究中心, 北京 100190;2. 中国科学院研究生院 管理学院,北京 100190;3. 中国科学院 数学与系统科学研究院, 北京 100190 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用104个国家的数据作为样本,在引力模型的框架下分别估计了静态面板和动态面板模型,研究了我国出口信用保险和出口 的关系. 分析结果表明:出口信用保险对我国的出口有着显著的促进作用;出口信用保险在短期内对出口企业向发展中国家或地区的出口具有更明显的促进作用,在长期内对向发达国家的出口的支持作用更大,这是由我国出口企业对发达国家的 依赖性决定的.
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| 关 键 词： | 出口信用保险 政治风险 引力模型 静态面板模型 动态面板模型 广义矩估计 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-05-31 |
Empirical study on exports promoting effect of China's export credit insurance |
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| HE Shen-yua,LI Bin,PANG Shu-juan,WANG Shou-yang. Empirical study on exports promoting effect of China's export credit insurance[J]. Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice, 2011, 31(5): 792-798. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2011)5-792 |
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| Authors: | HE Shen-yua LI Bin PANG Shu-juan WANG Shou-yang |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Research Center on Fictitious Economy & Data Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;2. School of Management, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;3. Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper investigated the relationship between export credit insurance and exports of China by estimating both static and dynamic panel data model within the gravity model framework. Using data of 104 countries, the empirical results show that export credit insurance significantly promotes exports of China and it has a short-term effect on exports to developing countries while a long-term effect on exports to developed countries which is due to the Chinese firms’ dependence on the developed countries. |
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| Keywords: | export credit insurance political risk gravity model static panel data model dynamic panel data model generalized method of moments |
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