| 灰色系统理论在滑坡位移信息分析中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李朝甫,徐迎,谭跃虎,张涛. 灰色系统理论在滑坡位移信息分析中的应用[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2001, 21(2): 129-132. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2001)2-129 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李朝甫 徐迎 谭跃虎 张涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军理工大学工程兵工程学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据灰色系统理论 ,建立了经残差修正的自适应 GM( 1 ,1 )预测模型 ,利用编制的计算程序对富春江水电站左岸蠕变山体 CD2观测点水平位移进行预测计算分析 ,结果表明残差修正自适应 GM( 1 ,1 )预测模型精度最高 ,自适应 GM( 1 ,1 )预测模型次之 ,全数据 GM( 1 ,1 )预测模型最低.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统理论 滑坡 GM(1:1)模型 位移信息分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6788(2001)02-0129-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999-12-16 |
Application of Grey SystemTheory to Analyzing Displacement Information of Slide |
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| LI Chao-fu,XU Ying,TAI Yue-hu,ZHANG Tao. Application of Grey SystemTheory to Analyzing Displacement Information of Slide[J]. Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice, 2001, 21(2): 129-132. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2001)2-129 |
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| Authors: | LI Chao-fu XU Ying TAI Yue-hu ZHANG Tao |
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| Affiliation: | Engineering Institute of Engineering Corps,PLAUST |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, based on grey system theory, the self|adapting GM(1,1) forecasting model with the residual error being amended is proposed ,and the calculating program is compiled. The horizontal displacement of gauging point CD2 which lies in creeping slope of left bank of Fuchunjiang power station is forecasted and analyzed by the calculating program, and the precise of self|adapting GM(1,1) forecasting model with the residual error being amended is proved to be the best compared with that of self|adapting GM(1,1) forecasting model and total data GM(1,1) forecasting model. |
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| Keywords: | grey system theory slide self|adapting GM(1 1) forecasting model analysis of displacement information |
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