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| 旅游预测模型及应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 张友兰,周爱民,王新学.旅游预测模型及应用[J].河北省科学院学报,2000,17(2):85-88. |
| 作者姓名： | 张友兰 周爱民 王新学 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河北省科学院应用数学研究所,石家庄,050081 2. 南开大学国际经济研究所,天津,300071 3. 河北省财政厅,石家庄,050051 |
| 摘 要： | 本文分析了旅游引力模型、多元(逐步)回归模型和时间序列模型在预测旅游人数方面的优缺点.并给出了河北省今后几年国外游客人数及美国游客人数的预测结果.对河北省旅游业的发展提出若干建议. |
| 关 键 词： | 旅游 预测 模型 |
Tourist forecast model and applications |
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| ZHANG You-lan,ZHOU Ai-min,WANG Xin-xue.Tourist forecast model and applications[J].Journal of The Hebei Academy of Sciences,2000,17(2):85-88. | |
| Authors: | ZHANG You-lan ZHOU Ai-min WANG Xin-xue |
| Abstract: | The models of tourist gravity, multivariate regression and time series, are discussed in the paper, and feasibility and defect are pointed out in the forecast of tourist population. At the same time it shows the forecast result of foreign tourist population in next years in Hebei. Furthermore, some worthful advise is offered for the further development of Hebei's tourist. |
| Keywords: | Tourist Forecasting Model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |