| 基于回归分析与三次指数平滑的组合预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李山山. 基于回归分析与三次指数平滑的组合预测[J]. 太原师范学院学报(自然科学版), 2012, 11(1): 75-77 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李山山 |
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| 作者单位： | 中山大学数学与计算科学学院,广州,510275 |
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| 摘 要： | 组合预测是把几种单一的预测方法进行组合后得到更好的预测结果的方法.文章根据国家财政用于科学研究支出的统计数据,运用回归预测与三次指数平滑预测,而后求出组合预测的权重,最后得出更优的预测结果.
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| 关 键 词： | 回归分析 三次指数平滑 权重计算 组合预测 |
Combination Forecasting Based on Regression and Index Smoothness |
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| Li Shanshan. Combination Forecasting Based on Regression and Index Smoothness[J]. Journal of Taiyuan Normal University:Natural Science Edition, 2012, 11(1): 75-77 |
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| Authors: | Li Shanshan |
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| Affiliation: | Li Shanshan(School of Mathematics and Computational Science,Sun Yatsen University,Guangzhou 510275,China) |
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| Abstract: | Combination forecasting is a method to get a better prediction by combining several prediction results.The expenditure for the scientific research is predicted through two methods,and a better result is obtained by combining the two results. |
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| Keywords: | regression analysis indexsmoothness analysis weight calculation combination forecasting |
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