基于Bootstrap方法的土地出让价格影响因素分析

影响土地成交价格的因素众多,可利用回归模型参数显著性检验方法,分析土地出让成交单价影响因素的显著性.在小样本或者模型误差分布不明确的情况下,该方法存在统计推断不可信问题.为此,在模型中引入Bootstrap方法,提高了参数估计方差的精确度,进而提高了对影响因素显著性统计推断的可信性.用重庆市土地交易数据进行实证分析,结果表明,Bootstrap方法解决此类问题是十分有效的.

Analysis of Influencing Factor of Land Price Based on Bootstrap Method

There are a lot of influencing factors of land price. Method of t-test of regression analysis model can be used to conduct the analysis of significance of influencing factor of land price. In the case of small sample or indefinite error distribution, there is a problem of unlikelihood of statistical referrer. So that, introduce Bootstrap method in the model to increase precision of estimated variance of parameters and reliability of statistical referrer of significance of influencing factor. Take an empirical analysis based on the data of land deal of Chongqing. The result indicates that it is very efficient to solve such problem by Bootstrap method.