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| 海口生态足迹的动态分析与预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 王军,张勇,王赛,李建保,傅国华,熊春荣. 海口生态足迹的动态分析与预测[J]. 海南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 29(1): 68-73 |
| 作者姓名： | 王军 张勇 王赛 李建保 傅国华 熊春荣 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 海南大学材料与化工学院,海南,海口,570228 2. 海南低碳经济政策与产业技术研究院,海南,海口,570228;海南大学材料与化工学院,海南,海口,570228 3. 海南低碳经济政策与产业技术研究院,海南,海口,570228 |
| 摘 要： | 计算和分析了海口的生态足迹、生态容量、生态盈余及赤字状况,并对2010-2012、2038年的生态足迹情况进行了预测.分析结果显示:2000-2008年,海口生态足迹增长96.72%,年均增长10.75%,生态容量维持在7.4×105～7.9×105 hm2之间;人均生态足迹由0.245 1 hm2增长至0.3963 ... |
| 关 键 词： | 生态足迹 动态分析与预测 可持续发展分析 海口 |
Dynamic Analysis and Forecast of Haikou Ecological Footprint |
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| WANG Jun,ZHANG Yong,WANG Sai,LI Jian-bao,FU Guo-hua,XIONG Chun-rong. Dynamic Analysis and Forecast of Haikou Ecological Footprint[J]. Natural Science Journal of Hainan University, 2011, 29(1): 68-73 | |
| Authors: | WANG Jun ZHANG Yong WANG Sai LI Jian-bao FU Guo-hua XIONG Chun-rong |
| Affiliation: | 1,2 (1.Hainan Institute of Low-carbon Economic Policy and Industrial Technology,Haikou 570228,China; 2.College of Materials and Chemical Engineering,Hainan University,Haikou 570228,China) |
| Abstract: | The ecological footprint model was used to analysis the ecological footprint,ecological capacity and ecological surplus/deficit of Haikou and forecast the ecological footprint situations from 2010 to 2012 & 2038.The results indicated that from 2000 to 2008,Haikou’s ecological footprint was increased by 96.72% and annual increase rate was 10.75%,ecological capacity was maintained in the range of 7.4×105 to 7.9×105 hm2;ecological footprint per capita was increased from 0.245 1 hm2 to 0.396 3 hm2,and ecological capacity per capita fell down from 0.492 3 hm2 to 0.424 8 hm2;ecological surplus was decreased year by year,and reached a pure ecological deficit in 2009.These data suggested that it is necessary for Haikou City to take effective measures to curb the excessive growth of ecological footprint and further optimize the relationship between the economic development and the ecological environment. |
| Keywords: | ecological footprint analysis and forecast sustainable development analysis Haikou |
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