| 战争系统中民意走势预测分析模型框架研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗批,司光亚,胡晓峰,杨镜宇.战争系统中民意走势预测分析模型框架研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2003,23(10):94-98. |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗批 司光亚 胡晓峰 杨镜宇 |
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| 作者单位： | 国防大学训练模拟中心 北京100091 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家“十五”863资助(2001AA115120) |
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| 摘 要： | 将目前最具活力的方法之一——基于Agent的复杂模型构建技术引入战争系统的民意问题中,提出了“政治倾向性(民意走向)进化”的观点,设计了我国某地区特定民意走势的预测分析模型,并详细分析了模型实现框架和运行流程,为民意走势预测分析进一步的研究奠定基础.
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| 关 键 词： | 战争系统 民意预测分析 Agent建模 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6788(2003)10-0094-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年10月16 |
Study on the Model Architecture of the Public Opinion Tendency for Forecast & Analysis in Warfare System |
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| LUO Pi,SI Guang-ya,HU Xiao-feng,YANG Jing-yu.Study on the Model Architecture of the Public Opinion Tendency for Forecast & Analysis in Warfare System[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2003,23(10):94-98. |
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| Authors: | LUO Pi SI Guang-ya HU Xiao-feng YANG Jing-yu |
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| Institution: | The Training & Simulation Center, NDU of PLA, Beijing 100091, China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, we introduce a hot topic - agent-based modeling method into the public opinion issue in warfare system, and propose an idea of political tendency evolution. Moreover, we design a model for forecast & analysis of the special public opinion tendency in special district of our country. Finally, we analyze the model's realization procedure and flow, which is a milestone of our future research. |
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| Keywords: | warfare system public opinion forecast & analysis agent-based modeling |
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