| 基于灰色系统GM(1,1)模型的中药材罗汉果价格预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯烽,韦范,缪剑华.基于灰色系统GM(1,1)模型的中药材罗汉果价格预测[J].广西科学,2012,19(1):15-20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯烽 韦范 缪剑华 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]广西财经学院,广西南宁530003 [2]广西壮族自治区药用植物园,广西南宁530023 [3]福州大学,福建福州350003 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西医疗卫生重点科研课题（重200413）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 在采用定性分析的方法对影响中药材罗汉果价格的主要因素进行分析的基础上,使用灰色系统理论对罗汉果的价格建立拟合精度与预测精度较高的GM(1,1)模型,并应用样本长度为4的GM(1,1)模型对罗汉果的季度平均价格进行实际预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 价格 预测 GM(1 1)模型 罗汉果 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011/9/12 0:00:00 |
Price Prediction of Traditional Chinese Medicine Siraitia grosvenorii Based on Grey System GM (1,1)Model |
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| FENG Feng,WEI Fan and MIAO Jian-hua.Price Prediction of Traditional Chinese Medicine Siraitia grosvenorii Based on Grey System GM (1,1)Model[J].Guangxi Sciences,2012,19(1):15-20. |
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| Authors: | FENG Feng WEI Fan and MIAO Jian-hua |
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| Institution: | 1.Guangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanning,Guangxi,530003,China;2.Guangxi Botanical Garden of Medicinal Plants,Nanning,Guangxi,530023,China;3.Fuzhou University,Fuzhou,Fujian,350003,China) |
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| Abstract: | Qualitative analysis was conducted on the impact factors of price of traditional Chinese medicine Siraitia grosvenorii,and then the price series of Siraitia grosvenorii was modeled using the GM（1,1） model,of which fitting precision and higher accuracy were studied by the gray system theory.The results showed that the samples length of 4 GM（1,1） model has a good prediction ability for the quarterly average price of Siraitia grosvenorii. |
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| Keywords: | price prediction GM（1 1） model Siraitia grosvenorii |
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