| 基于不确定性分析技术的两种水质模型率定方法比较 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾思育,陈吉宁,王志石.基于不确定性分析技术的两种水质模型率定方法比较[J].系统工程理论与实践,2004,24(2):138-141. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾思育 陈吉宁 王志石 |
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| 作者单位： | (1)清华大学环境系系统分析研究所;(2)澳门大学科技学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 与澳门市政总署的合作项目《澳门南湾湖生态保护规划研究》 |
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| 摘 要： | 以澳门南湾湖为例,对一个小型湖泊水质模拟模型的基本结构功能进行了描述.并且在进行水质模拟过程中,比较了两种用于参数率定的不确定性分析算法,讨论了参数不确定性,以及传递到计算结果中对水质模拟的不确定性影响.
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| 关 键 词： | 湖泊模型 不确定性分析 GLUE算法 HSY算法 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6788(2004)02-0138-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年1月12日 |
Comparison between Two Calibration Methods for Water Quality Model Based on Uncertainty Analysis Technique |
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| ZENG Si-yu,CHEN Ji-ning,WANG Zhi-shi\.Comparison between Two Calibration Methods for Water Quality Model Based on Uncertainty Analysis Technique[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2004,24(2):138-141. |
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| Authors: | ZENG Si-yu CHEN Ji-ning WANG Zhi-shi\ |
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| Institution: | (1)Environmental Department,Tsinghua University;(2)Faculty of Science and Technology,University of Macao |
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| Abstract: | With the case study on Lake NamVam in Macao, the paper described the function and structure of water quality model for a small-scale lake. During the water quality simulation, two uncertainty analysis tools were attempted to calibrate model parameters, which was GLUE algorithm and HSY algorithm. According to uncertainty estimation of parameters, uncertainty transfer to simulation results was discussed. |
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| Keywords: | lake model uncertainty analysis GLUE algorithm HSY algorithm |
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