基于灰色模型与灰色关联度对品牌手机未来销量预测

本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)4]模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考.同时,用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌.结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以用此预测模型预测,具有一定的参考价值.

Forecasting for th Brand mobile phone sales based on gray and gray correlative degree

This paper is gray prediction GM (1,1) model, of the total number of mobile phone sales of dynamic change, provide a reference for handset manufacturers. At the same time, the gray relational grade, to calculate the total sales of the brand need to forecast the impact of correlation as a weight, to predict the target brand. The results showed that sales of mobile phones fitted a higher degree of historical trends, the prediction model used in this forecast, with some reference value.