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供应链长鞭效应的模型与分析
引用本文:孙元欣. 供应链长鞭效应的模型与分析[J]. 上海大学学报(自然科学版), 2001, 7(3): 278-282
作者姓名:孙元欣
作者单位:上海大学国际工商与管理学院,
摘    要:若将零售,批发,物流,制造,原材料供应等企业所开展的各种经济活动,视为一个完整的向消费者提供产品或服务的供应链,其上存在着需求波动沿着供应链向上游企业不断放大的“长鞭效应”造成各种各样的运营浪费和失效,该文讨论长效的概念和成因,并给出一种量化模型,用以分析比较采用分散信息和信中信息的长鞭效应,同时给出减轻长鞭效应的措施和方法。

关 键 词:供应链 “长鞭”效应 量化分析 分散信息 集中信息 运营浪费 运营失效
文章编号:1007-2861(2001)03-0278-05
修稿时间:2001-02-08

Analysis of a Model of Bullwhip Effect on Supply Chain
SUN Yuan xin. Analysis of a Model of Bullwhip Effect on Supply Chain[J]. Journal of Shanghai University(Natural Science), 2001, 7(3): 278-282
Authors:SUN Yuan xin
Abstract:If we take all the activities of retailers, wholesalers, manufacturers, distributors and raw material suppliers as a supply chain offering products or services to customers, there is a special systematic characteristics. Demand fluctuation is getting bigger if going up along supply chain, named bullwhip effect. This results in a lot of operation wastes. The paper discusses the concept, causes and a quantifying model, and compares the results based on centralized and decentralized information system respectively. The paper proposes some strategies to be used for lessening or eliminating bullwhip effect.
Keywords:supply chain  bullwhip effect  qualify analysis  strategies
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