| 神经网络在成品油价格预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 程燕,刘清志.神经网络在成品油价格预测中的应用[J].山东理工大学学报,2005,19(5):61-65. |
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| 作者姓名： | 程燕 刘清志 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学,经济管理学院,山东,东营,257061;中国石油大学,经济管理学院,山东,东营,257061 |
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| 摘 要： | 列用BP神经网络和线性神经网络,进行了成品油价格的预测. 应用某炼油厂的两种原料油胜利原油和进口原油的价格、90#汽油的产量、销量、0#柴油的产量、销量共6个变量为输入矢量,预测了该炼油厂90#汽油和0#柴油这两种成品油的价格.
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| 关 键 词： | 人工神经网络 BP神经网络 线性神经网络 成品油价格 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-6197(2005)05-0061-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 07 2 2005 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年7月2日 |
Application of neural network at oil product price prediction |
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| CHEN Yan,LIU Qing-zhi.Application of neural network at oil product price prediction[J].Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Science and Technology,2005,19(5):61-65. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yan LIU Qing-zhi |
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| Institution: | School of Economic and Management, China University of Petrleum, Dongying 257061 ,China |
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| Abstract: | Nowadays,with the degree of market increasingly developed,predicting the price of oil products has a very important significance.Using the result of prediction,Oil-refining Corporation can predict its outcome,adjust its productive scheme,and maximize its profit.Neural network,as an important decision technology sprouted in the 1940s,can offer satisfactory simulated result and doesn't need to establish mathematical models,so it has colossal superiority to other mathematical models.The article chooses BP neural network and linear neural network to predict the price of oil product.Applying the data of one refinery,including the price of Shengli crude oil and imported crude oil,the output and sale of its 90~(#) petrol and 0~(#) diesel as input,we predict the price of two kinds of oil products,i.e.90~(#) petrol and 0~(#) diesel. |
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| Keywords: | artificial neural network back-propagation neural network linear neural network price of oil products prediction |
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