| 中国人口发展的灰色预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 官金兰,欧杰泉.中国人口发展的灰色预测模型[J].佛山科学技术学院学报(自然科学版),2009,27(5):23-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 官金兰 欧杰泉 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广东农工商职业技术学院,数学教研室,广东,广州,510507
2. 广州市轻工职业学校,计算机教研室,广东,广州,510650 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目，广东省自然科学基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用灰色系统理论对我国的人口数量进行预测,首先预测净增人口数量,进而预测总人口数量,给出了不同维数的预测结果并进行对比,对比结果表明,7维灰色预测模型为最佳模型,最后利用其对我国的总人口进行预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 净增人口预测 总人口预测 |
The gray prediction model for the development of China's population |
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| GUAN Jin-lan,OU Jie-quan.The gray prediction model for the development of China''s population[J].Journal of Foshan University(Natural Science Edition),2009,27(5):23-26. |
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| Authors: | GUAN Jin-lan OU Jie-quan |
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| Institution: | GUAN Jin-lan1,OU Jie-quan2(1.Department of Mathematics,Guangdong AIB Polytechnic College,Guangzhou 510507,China,2.Department of Computer,Guangzhou Light Industry Secondary Vocational Schools,Guangzhou 510650,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces how the gray system theory is used to forecast the population of China.It is used to forecast the net increase and the total number of China's population sequentially.Results forecast in different dimension are compared with each other.The comparison shows that the 7-dimension gray model is the best one which is used in this paper to forecast the total population of China. |
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| Keywords: | gray system projections of the population's pure growth population gross prediction |
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