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国际工程承包的资金风险管理研究
引用本文:雷军华,龙世辉,孙锡衡.国际工程承包的资金风险管理研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,19(7):30-37.
作者姓名:雷军华  龙世辉  孙锡衡
作者单位:天津大学水资源与港湾工程系
摘    要:将风险分析技术用于国际工程资金管理领域,在总结以往的风险分析理论的基础上,通过对国际工程承包资金风险的辨识、估计和评价,结合对工程现金流分析,系统分析了国际工程承包中可能遇到的风险,建立了一组资金风险评价的数学模型,并结合计算机模拟技术,编制了风险模拟计算程序.最后,以承包尼泊尔某工程为例,证明了该方法的可行性和有效性.

关 键 词:国际工程承包  资金风险  风险模拟    
修稿时间::1998-01-1

The Study of Capital Risk Management in International Construction Contracting
LEI Junhua,LONG Shihui,SUN Xiheng.The Study of Capital Risk Management in International Construction Contracting[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,1999,19(7):30-37.
Authors:LEI Junhua  LONG Shihui  SUN Xiheng
Institution:Hydro.Eng.Dep., TianJin University
Abstract:In this paper, the capital risk management of international construction by means of risk analysis is described. First, the traditional theories of capital risk analysis are discussed in detail. Then, possible capital risks in international construction contracting are analyzed and assessed systematically.Third,a series of mathematical models of assessing capital risks are established after analyzing the cash flow of the project. Based on the analysis mentioned above, computer simulation programs are developed. Finally, as an example, a Nepal's project is shown. The result shows that the proposed methods are feasible and effective.
Keywords:international construction contracting  capital risk  risk simulation
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