考虑中断的制造型供应链协调调度模型

供应链协调调度能有效提高企业应对供应链中断的能力。以两阶段制造供应链为研究对象，研究了中断情境下具有交付时间约束的多产品类型制造供应链协调调度问题。制造商接到包含多产品类型的工件加工订单，各工件需经供应商处理为原材料工件后，交付给制造商处理为完成品，各工件均有一个独立的交付期。如果供应商单方面调整工件加工顺序，会导致制造商冲突成本的增加，需双方协商处理。以最小化供应商总拖期交付成本和最小化制造商总冲突成本为目标，基于收益共享契约协调机制，构建了考虑中断的制造型供应链协调调度模型。设计了一个融合自适应邻域搜索算子的混合自适应遗传算法。通过算例仿真，验证了所提模型与算法的有效性。     

创新回报不确定性下的新技术采纳研究

考虑到企业在采纳新技术过程中的技术溢出以及新技术创新回报的不确定性,建立生产有差异化产品企业的两阶段博弈模型,以企业采纳时间为分界点分别得出在古诺竞争和伯特兰德竞争两种市场下各个阶段的期望均衡利润,进而对技术创新回报不确定性、企业的最优采纳时间、期望社会福利最大时的企业最优社会采纳时间进行了分析,结果表明,随着创新回报不确定性的增加,先采纳新技术企业的期望利润增加更多;企业间产品差异较大时,领先企业在古诺竞争下的最优采纳时间要比伯特兰德竞争下的最优采纳时间要早;企业间产品差异较小时,领先企业在古诺竞争下的最优采纳时间要晚于伯特兰德竞争下的最优采纳时间.跟随企业在古诺竞争下的最优采纳时间始终早于伯特兰德竞争下的最优采纳时间.     

A Layer-Stripping Method for 3D Near-Surface Velocity Model Building Using Seismic First-Arrival Times

In order to improve the efficiency of 3D near-surface velocity model building, we develop a layer-stripping method using seismic first-arrival times. The velocity model within a Common Mid-Point (CMP) ...     

四-对羟基苯基卟啉的自组装及光电特性

利用X射线光电子能谱(XPS)测试5,10,15,20-四-(对羟基苯基)卟啉单体和5,10,15,20-四-(对羟基苯基)卟啉自组装二聚体,并通过化学模拟得到卟啉自组装二聚体分子的最优构象.结果表明:两种卟啉化合物中氧原子的类型不同;在单体卟啉中未检测到瞬态表面光电压信号,卟啉自组装二聚体表现出较好的瞬态表面光伏特性;卟啉自组装二聚体的光限幅性质优于卟啉1单体.     

基于APAS的篮球技术链攻防时空特征研究

运用三维影像解析系统软件对持球顺步突破后跨步急停跳投这一技术链的攻守影像进行解析.研究结果表明,篮球技术链中每一项技术的运用都有其时间和空间适用性,如果运用得当,链内技术可以产生互为运用手段、互相创造时空条件的效果;经测试,高水平篮球运动员脚的简单反应时和动作反应时高度相关,但在持球队员运用该技术链向左侧突破时,技术链前端技术不能为末端的投篮技术创造时空优势.     

实时系统开发与PEARL语言

本文讨论了实时系统的特征、开发方法、设计工具、实现手段工具等开发过程中的主要问题,论述了实时系统开发语言PEARL及该语言的对实时系统的主要支持.     

Abrupt climate change：Debate or action

Global abrupt climate changes have been documented by various climate records, including ice cores, ocean sediment cores, lake sediment cores, cave deposits, loess deposits and pollen records. The climate system prefers to be in one of two stable states, i.e. interstadial or stadial conditions, but not in between. The transition between two states has an abrupt character. Abrupt climate changes are, in general, synchronous in the northern hemisphere and tropical regions. The timescale for abrupt climate changes can be as short as a decade. As the impacts may be potentially serious, we need to take actions such as reducing CO2 emissions to the atmosphere.     

数字电视机顶盒综述

在介绍数字电视机项盒的定义、功能及分类的基础上，着重探讨了数字电视机顶盒的软、硬件结构以及该产品的市场前景等问题。     

图析宁波电视收视格局

文章对宁波的电视收视总体格局、晚间时段各电视频道的竞争态势,以及电视剧在宁波的收视情况作了由总及分的探讨和分析,将数据做成图表的形式形象、科学地解构了宁波电视的收视格局,对了解宁波电视收视情况和促进各台竞争提供了实际的参考价值.     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.