小麦群体连续选择效应的综合分析

本试验对由信谷核不育基因构成的异效群体内４个性状进行连续两轮歧化选择，并将所得数据进行群体综合分析。结果表明：整个群体的平均表现和变异程度未发明显变化；但群体分布状况有一定改变，尤其是每穗粒数的分布数化较为明显；株高和千粒重的有效因子数估计基本符合小麦遗传实际表现，每穗粒数的有效有效因子数估计略低，说明此性状遗传背景较为简单。     

非线性生育率阶段结构的收获模型

建立并分析了一类非线性生育率阶段结构的单种群的收获模型，得到了正平衡点全局稳定的条件，给出了最优收获策略．     

Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

老龄产业发展战略的思考

论述新世纪发展老龄产业的意义、作用、制约因素和内容．目的在于通过老龄产业的发展来解决日趋严重的人口老龄化问题；并运用实证分析法阐明经济发展、计划生育、社会安定与人类进步的关系。     

甲烷与水分子氢键相互作用的理论研究

使用Gaussioan94程序包，在B3LYP／6—311G**基组水平上，对甲烷(CH4)与水分子(H2O)之间的所有相互作用方式进行优化．通过电子布居分析，发现在电子给予体O原子和电子接受体H原子间存在氢键，氢键的键长约为0．2574nm．振动模式分析表明，只有一种加合物是稳定的，势能面也证实了这一点．     

ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL ECONOMY GROWTH WITH THE THEORY OF DIFFERENTIAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS

In order to describe the interrelation forces among different regions during the economic growth, this paper introduces and analyzes the dynamical system model with the theory of differential systems dynamics. A practical example based on a simplified model is given to analyze the dynamical process of Sichuan economy growth.     

文山州人口素质现状与人才开发的几点思考

从文山州人口的受教育程度可以反映出，文山州目前的人口素质现状是令人担忧的，在此基础平台上，文山州人才资源的学历结构、地域分布、民族分布、行业分布等存在着严重的不平衡，这种状况，极大地制约着文山经济社会的发展。为此，开发文山人才资源，尤其是盘活文山现有人才资源就具有重要的战略意义。     

非线性模糊直接鲁棒自适应控制的后推设计

采用模糊直接控制方法,针对一类非线性多入多出系统,提出了一种带有连续鲁棒项的鲁棒自适应控制方法.在此基础给出了高阶多入多出系统的鲁棒自适应的后推设计方法.在鲁棒项合理简化的情况下,给出了系统Lyapunov意义下的稳定性证明,简略分析了各设计参数的物理意义及其对系统性能的影响.理论分析和仿真实验均显示,本方法可以使系统全局渐近稳定,且选取恰当的设计参数可保证系统对输入信号的跟踪达到任意精度;并且由于鲁棒项的引入可使系统的设计更具灵活性.     

西藏公务员工作满意度调查与分析

通过对西藏公务员工作满意度的调查,分析影响西藏公务员工作满意度的主要因素以及工作满意度体现在人口统计变量上的差异,并对此提出相应的对策建议。     

山东省人口发展趋势的定量分析

根据山东省第四次人口普查资料,采用人口发展动态模型,对山东人口发展过程进行了优化分析研究,针对山东省人口发展过程中存在的问题,进一步探讨了解决的有效途径。