Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

浙江省县市综合经济实力分析

利用浙江省2005年有关统计数据,分别采用加权平均法、主成分分析法、因子分析法和聚类分析法对浙江省58个县级市、县的综合经济实力进行了综合评价和排位.其方法科学、合理.对于帮助各地区看到自己所处的位置,明确自己的经济实力提供了一个度量准则.     

基于信噪比的投资组合策略研究

采用收益率的协方差矩阵的特征根刻划投资的风险;用主成分综合反映证券市场的信息;用主成分的信噪比反映投资组合的期望收益率与风险之间的均衡关系,并以此作为投资组合收益极大化的指标;得到了不同与H.Markowitz的投资组合模型,并给出了具体的投资组合策略-卖空与非卖空条件下的投资组合的比例,文章最后给出了一个实例.     

提高风险投资过程中两级委托—代理效率的思考

本文从对风险投资者与风险投资商、风险投资商与风险企业之间的两层委托代理的简要分析入手 ,首先在诠释委托—代理效率内涵的基础上构建了分析委托—代理效率的一个理论框架 ,并应用此框架对如何提高上述两层委托—代理关系的效率问题进行了探讨     

A NEW DESCRIPA NEW DESCRIPTOR OF AMINO ACIDS BASED ON THE THREEDIMENSIONAL VECTOR OF ATOMIC INTERACTION FIELD

QUANTITATIVE STRUCTURE ACTIVITY RELATIONSHIP (QSAR) IS A VERY IMPORTANT TOPIC FOR MANY SCIENTIFIC FIELDS AND CAN BE TERMED AS QUANTITATIVE SEQUENCE ACTIVITY MODELS(QSAM)[1] WHEN REFERRED TO THE RESEARCH ON RELATION- SHIPS BETWEEN STRUCTURES AND ACTIVITIES OF BIOLOGICAL MOLECULES, SUCH AS PROTEINS, AND NUCLEIC ACIDS. HOW- EVER, IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TO ESTABLISH A QSAM MODEL,…     

SrFCl:Eu~(2+)晶体的电子自旋共振谱研究

用程序降温法生长了SrFCl:Eu~(2+)晶体,并测量了它的电子自旋共振谱。应用最小二乘法拟合技术对g因子及自旋哈密顿参数进行了精确拟合。报道了各向异性的g因子及有关自旋哈密顿参量。发现并归属了Eu~(2+)的高阶禁阻跃迁。     

Functional magnetic resonance imaging of amphetamine craving

The aim of this study is to identify the brain activity associated with amphetamine craving for understanding the neurobiology of addiction by watching pictures of happy, sad or amphetamine. Brain activity was measured in 12 amphetamine addicts and 12 healthy subjects by fMRI while the subjects watched pictures designed to elicit happy feelings, sad feelings, or the desire to use amphetamine. The result demonstrated that amphetamine cues led to abnormally high cingulate and low frontal lobe activation in amphetamine addicts, who showed abnormalities in affect-related brain activation.     

四川省野生动物现状、保护与主要问题

四川（原含重庆市）地处青藏高原与长江中下游平原之间的过渡地带，地势高差悬殊，地貌类型复杂，是一个多地理要素的交汇处，物种多样性丰富，有脊椎动物1286种，占全国总数的39．05％，区系复杂，为全国之冠，古北界成员主要是北方型占25．34％，其次为高地型占5．10％，并渗透有东北型占5．19％和中亚型占2．31％，东洋界成分占60％以上，其中以热带亚热带型和喜马拉雅横断山脉型最多，分别为23．56％和23．17％，其次为南中国型占13．375，此外尚有季风型占25，大熊猫，金丝猴等孑遗特有动物有318种，占全国的375，国家Ⅰ级保护的珍稀动物有27种，占全国同级的26．47％，国家Ⅱ级保护的珍稀动物有113种，占全国同级的26．47％，自然保护区载至2000年，共有52个，面积达29061km^2，现存主要问题是森林过度采伐，致使动物的栖息地受到破坏和缩小，加之过度的利用，滥猎和盗杀野生动物，以及环境污染等，导致众多物种处于濒危状态。     

Co2+离子在CsMgCl3晶体中的g因子和超精细结构常数研究

用基团模型的3d^7离子在三角对称下的高阶微扰公式计算了CsMgCl3晶体中Co^2＋杂质中心的g因子g∥,g⊥和超精细结构常数A∥和A⊥。计算中，不仅考虑了基态和激发态间的组态相互作用效应，而且考虑了3d^7离子d轨道与配体p轨道之间的共价效应，与这两种效应相关的参数可由所研究晶体的光谱和结构数据得到。在考虑了键长与键角的微弱畸变后，理论计算值与实验观测值符合较好。     

织造过程中经纱张力计算机控制系统的研究

为了提高织机生产效率和扩大织造品种范围，提出了织造过程中经纱张力控制的目标和相适应的控制方案，研制了经纱张力计算机控制系统，达到了预期的性能指标。