基于计算实验的流感大流行预防策略

流感是人类健康的重大威胁之一.为探索预防新型流感大流行的有效策略,建立了北京市计算流行病模型,评估了边境口岸检疫,病例治疗,病例隔离,社会关系抗病毒预防以及免疫接种措施对四种新型流感大流行的预防效能.结果表明:边境口岸检疫对于预防新型流感大流行的作用非常有限;积极的病例治疗可预防传播能力类似于2009年A(H1N1)的新型流感大流行;高强度的病例治疗和病例隔离可预防传播能力类似于1957年A(H2N2)的新型流感大流行;对于传播能力类似于1918年A(H1N1)的新型流感,在高强度病例治疗和病例隔离的基础上须对病例的社会关系进行抗病毒预防才有可能预防大流行;而对于具有超级传播能力的新型流感(R_03.3),必须依靠有效的广谱疫苗才能预防大流行.研究结果对于进一步完善我国应对流感大流行的应急准备与处置计划具有参考价值.     

Long-term increases in clutch size in common snapping turtles (Chelydra serpentina) and diamondback terrapins (Malaclemys terrapin)

Clutch size (CS) is a well-studied life history characteristic, and optimal egg size theory predicts that CS should correlate positively with reproductive investment. Turtles are good subjects for studies of reproductive strategies because few turtle species exhibit parental care; therefore quantifying their short-term reproductive investment is mostly limited to measuring egg size and number. Clutch size is usually reported as an average value for each turtle population, and where CS variation is noted, it is usually attributable to variation in adult body size. In two long-term studies of ecologically dissimilar species we detected a dramatic increase in CS in a common snapping turtle (Chelydra serpentina) population and in a diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin) population. It is unknown whether these changes are due to either variation in adult body size or resource availability; but the temporal patterns we observed have apparently never been reported previously. These trends remain unexplained and should be explored further.     

IMPLICITIZATION OF PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL RATIONAL PARAMETRIC EQUATIONS

In this paper, we propose algorithms for the following problems in the implicitization of a set of partial differential rational parametric equations P. （1）To find a characteristic set for the implicit prime ideal of P; （2） To find a canonical representation for the image of P; （3）To decide whether the parameters of P are independent, and if not, to re-parameterize P so that the new parametric equations have independent parameters; （4） To compute the inversion maps of P, and as a consequence, to decide whether P is proper.     

加入WTO后中资银行的发展战略研究

中国加入WTO后，外资银行将凭借其技术优势和管理优势进入中国金融市场，给中资银行带来巨大的竞争压力和冲击。通过分析外资银行与中资银行开展竞争的主要领域、中资银行缺乏竞争力的主要原因，进而提出中资银行的应对策略和发展战略。     

A NEW DESCRIPA NEW DESCRIPTOR OF AMINO ACIDS BASED ON THE THREEDIMENSIONAL VECTOR OF ATOMIC INTERACTION FIELD

QUANTITATIVE STRUCTURE ACTIVITY RELATIONSHIP (QSAR) IS A VERY IMPORTANT TOPIC FOR MANY SCIENTIFIC FIELDS AND CAN BE TERMED AS QUANTITATIVE SEQUENCE ACTIVITY MODELS(QSAM)[1] WHEN REFERRED TO THE RESEARCH ON RELATION- SHIPS BETWEEN STRUCTURES AND ACTIVITIES OF BIOLOGICAL MOLECULES, SUCH AS PROTEINS, AND NUCLEIC ACIDS. HOW- EVER, IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TO ESTABLISH A QSAM MODEL,…     

我国烟草业的几大发展战略研究进展

为了搞清楚我国烟草业的发展趋势,本文总结分析了目前比较有代表性的几个观点,得出结论:我国烟草由于受经营特殊性的制约,经营机制、体制都不完善,与国外烟草企业相比还存在比较大的差距;但是,整个行业的发展要求我国烟草走国际化、多元化的发展之路。因此,我们必须加强烟草业的体制改革,加强我国烟草品牌的品牌建设,加大烟草业人才开发建设力度,加强烟草行业科研,与国际烟草企业展开竞争。     

不可压缩非牛顿粘性流体二维定常流动的第一边值问题

讨论不可压缩非牛顿粘性流体二维定常流动的第一边值问题,在比以往较弱的假设条件下证明了解的存在性和唯一性。     

B值随机变量序列部分和的矩的收敛速度

本文讨论2阶一致光滑空间及2型空间中随机变量序列部分和的矩的收敛速度问题,所得定理推广了Chow的结果。     

台湾地区选举后群众运动的攻防策略

以 2004年台湾岛内由于选举而引发的大规模群众抗议活动为样本, 总结和分析泛蓝泛绿双方的主要攻防策略, 并在此基础上, 就运动的手段和策略等问题, 对群众运动的组织提出某些规范性意见。     

互联网企业投资的跟进者策略分析

在网络经济中电子商务投资的先行者已占得先机的情况下,跟进者应如何选择竞争策略?为解决这一问题,该文在对互联网企业投资的跟进者优劣势进行分析的基础上,建立了基于物种相互作用模型的互联网企业投资跟进者策略选择模型。结果表明,资源获取能力是影响跟进者策略选择的重要因素,跟进者在具有强竞争力的条件下,并购、合围策略是适合的战略选择;相反,则宜采取市场细分“拾余补漏”策略将与先行者的竞争关系转化为互惠共生关系。