“二三结合”开发模式渗流特征研究

L油田B区块开展"二三结合"实验区,"二三结合"开发模式渗流特征对区块的合理高效开发具有重要意义。为了明确其渗流特征,利用油藏数值模拟软件Eclipse建立代表意义的油藏数值模型,研究区块"二三结合"开发模式下原射孔层和补孔层的渗流特征,分析了"二三结合"开发模式下,不同开发阶段综合含水率、采出程度、井底压力、地层压力及含水饱和度的变化特征。研究表明,"二三结合"开发模式先通过水驱开发挖潜原射孔层剩余油,提高厚油层顶部剩余油的采出程度,再通过聚合物驱进一步提高开发效果,通过水驱与聚驱的综合作用,最终得到较好的开发效果。     

2008—2012年《中华实用儿科临床杂志》载文文献计量分析

目的:分析《中华实用儿科临床杂志》近5年发展情况,为提高该刊质量提供参考依据. 方法:通过"中国生物医学文献数据库"收集该刊2008—2012年的文献题录,采用文献计量学方法,对文献的时间分布、单位分布、作者分布、作者合作情况、单位合作情况、高频关键词、高频主题词等指标进行统计分析. 结果:2008—2012年《中华实用儿科临床杂志》共载文3 459篇,单篇论文的长度在逐年增长;涉及作者13 870位,每篇论文作者平均数量大于4,每篇论文的平均合作单位数量多于1.45,关键词和主题词符合本刊的主题.2008—2010年被引的文献为1 131条,占期间总文献量的62%.结论:2008—2012年发表的论文选择更具有针对性,向着更为合理性的方向发展,研究方法也多采用定量分析方法,并且论文形式多样,文献被引次数越来越多.     

A neural network versus Black–Scholes: a comparison of pricing and hedging performances

An Erratum has been published for this article in Journal of Forecasting 22(6‐7) 2003, 551 The Black–Scholes formula is a well‐known model for pricing and hedging derivative securities. It relies, however, on several highly questionable assumptions. This paper examines whether a neural network (MLP) can be used to find a call option pricing formula better corresponding to market prices and the properties of the underlying asset than the Black–Scholes formula. The neural network method is applied to the out‐of‐sample pricing and delta‐hedging of daily Swedish stock index call options from 1997 to 1999. The relevance of a hedge‐analysis is stressed further in this paper. As benchmarks, the Black–Scholes model with historical and implied volatility estimates are used. Comparisons reveal that the neural network models outperform the benchmarks both in pricing and hedging performances. A moving block bootstrap is used to test the statistical significance of the results. Although the neural networks are superior, the results are sometimes insignificant at the 5% level. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

湍流大小尺度涡量方程组及其封闭

利用流体大小尺度 (LSS)方程组推导出湍流大小尺度涡量 (LSSV)方程组 ,给出两个关于湍流大小尺度涡量的命题 ,从而得到湍流封闭大小尺度涡量 (CLSSV)方程组。同时 ,对近程相互作用命题进行了推广。     

混沌动力学和湍流的统计理论

湍流是一个非线性复杂大系统,精细地研究其奇异吸引子的几何结构和动力学行为是不可能和不必要的,必须进行统计研究。湍流具有结构这一发现并不否定统计研究的必要性和合理性。混沌动力学为在更高层次上发展湍流统计理论奠定了基础。     

Quantum decoherence and the approach to equilibrium (II)

In a previous paper [Hemmo, M & Shenker, O (2003). Quantum decoherence and the approach to equilibrium I. Philosophy of Science, 70, 330–358] we discussed a recent proposal by Albert [(2000). Time and chance. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Chapter 7] to recover thermodynamics on a purely dynamical basis, using the quantum theory of the collapse of the quantum state of [Ghirardi, G, Rimini, A and Weber, T., (1986). Unified dynamics for microscopic and macroscopic systems. Physical Review, D 34, 470–479]. We proposed an alternative way to explain thermodynamics within no collapse interpretations of quantum mechanics. In this paper some difficulties faced by both approaches are discussed and solved: the spin echo experiments, and the problem of extremely light gases. In these contexts, we point out several ways in which the above quantum mechanical approaches as well as some other classical approaches to the foundations of statistical mechanics may be distinguished experimentally.     

如何写好统计分析

统计分析的广度、深度和力度决定于分析思路和表述思路,归结于写作思路。提高统计分析的广度、深度和力度,必须在写作思路的培养锻炼上下功夫,达到升华和提高。     

非线性非完整保守系统的稳定准则

本文采用不同于文献[8]的方法,研究了非线性非完整保守系统的稳定性问题,并给出了相应的稳定准则     

岩芯筒压入地层的塑性力学问题

摘要首先从库仑定律出发导出了地层介质塑性流动条件。其结果类似于一般塑性力学中的Tresca,Mises条件。其次列出了轴对称地层塑性流动的微分方程组,并推出了其简化近似方程。最后提出了简化方程的特征线解法,并举例说明。