A Layer-Stripping Method for 3D Near-Surface Velocity Model Building Using Seismic First-Arrival Times

In order to improve the efficiency of 3D near-surface velocity model building, we develop a layer-stripping method using seismic first-arrival times. The velocity model within a Common Mid-Point (CMP) ...     

基于APAS的篮球技术链攻防时空特征研究

运用三维影像解析系统软件对持球顺步突破后跨步急停跳投这一技术链的攻守影像进行解析.研究结果表明,篮球技术链中每一项技术的运用都有其时间和空间适用性,如果运用得当,链内技术可以产生互为运用手段、互相创造时空条件的效果;经测试,高水平篮球运动员脚的简单反应时和动作反应时高度相关,但在持球队员运用该技术链向左侧突破时,技术链前端技术不能为末端的投篮技术创造时空优势.     

实时系统开发与PEARL语言

本文讨论了实时系统的特征、开发方法、设计工具、实现手段工具等开发过程中的主要问题,论述了实时系统开发语言PEARL及该语言的对实时系统的主要支持.     

数字电视机顶盒综述

在介绍数字电视机项盒的定义、功能及分类的基础上，着重探讨了数字电视机顶盒的软、硬件结构以及该产品的市场前景等问题。     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

具有时滞的非自治的Lotka-Volterra生态系统的全局稳定性

考虑一个具有时滞的非自治的捕食——食饵生态系统。该系统是由一个捕食，二个食饵种群所构成我们给出了系统的周期解是全局稳定的充分条件。     

蚕沙提取果胶水解环境研究

果胶的提取率和质量与水解的环境关系密切 .本文重点在蚕沙中提取果胶从产率和颜色方面对水解的环境进行一些定性和定量的研究 ,获知各水解介质采用 0 3 %的稀硫酸液、温度 70— 80℃ ,时间 1h、pH1 5 ,提取的果胶从质量和产率上较理想     

The problem of time's arrow historico-critically reexamined

Responding to Hasok Chang's vision of the history and philosophy of science (HPS) as the continuation of science by other means, I illustrate the methods of HPS and their utility through a historico-critical examination of the problem of “time's arrow”, that is to say, the problem posed by the claim by Boltzmann and others that the temporal asymmetry of many physical processes and indeed the very possibility of identifying each of the two directions we distinguish in time must have a ground in the laws of nature. I claim that this problem has proved intractable chiefly because the standard mathematical representation of time employed in the formulation of the laws of nature “forgets” one of the connotations of the word ‘time’ as it is used in ordinary language and in experimental physics.     

High precision topographic data on Lop Nor basin's Lake "Great Ear" ? and the timing of its becoming a dry salt lake

High precision elevation measurements using DGPS were carried out along three representative tran- sects for the "Great Ear" area, a dry salt lake within the Lop Nor basin. Results indicate that the Lop Nor basin is only 5.2 m deep and its lowest point occurs at the center of the "Great Ear". In addition, the basin is asymmetric - steeper in the southwest (0.19‰) and gentler in the northeast (0.09‰). Points along the same "Great Ear" ring were found to have an identical elevation value, but different when from different ones (lower towards the center). The spacing of the "Great Ear" rings was found to be closely related with the surface steepness. The closer the "Great Ear" rings are spaced, the steeper the ground surface, and vice versa. These findings support the argument that the "Great Ear" rings are the former shoreline trails left behind by Lop Nor water during the last few episodes of recession towards its total dry up. A comprehensive analysis of the high precision elevation data, historical accounts, aerial and satellite photographs and imagery, and official topographic maps of the study area suggests that the "Great Ear" area in the Lop Nor basin was incorrectly mapped as being covered by a great body of water on the 1963 topographic maps. A re-interpretation of the 1958 aerial photographs and newer remote sensing imagery indicated that the "Great Ear" ring structure was already in place in 1958 and it continued to appear on the subsequent remote sensing data without any major changes. It is estimated that lake water in the "Great Ear" area of the Lop Nor basin disappeared between the late 1930s and early 1940s.     

浅谈预算编制改革与预算执行改革

针对传统预算编制方法与预算执行机制中存在的突出问题,浅谈如何同步推进预算编制改革与预算执行改革。