Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

基于FPGA的信号量管理模块的设计

针对软件实时操作系统的开销给嵌入式系统带来性能退化的问题,提出了基于FPGA的硬件实时操作系统的方案,设计了一个硬件信号量管理模块并用Verilog HDL硬件描述语言进行描述。仿真结果验证了这一设计的正确性,且其创建、请求和发送信号量操作的执行速度比μC/OS-Ⅱ中信号量管理部分明显提高。     

三峡工程水电站压力管道和蜗壳技术结构型式的选择及论证

The developing process of simulation technology is discussed in view of its development, maturation and further development.The applications of simulation technology in the fields of national economy are introduced. Finally, the level and status quo of simulation technology home and overseas are analyzed, and its future trend in the new century is presented.     

VHDL语言在EDA开发软件MAX＋PlusII之应用

介绍了EDA开发工具软件MAX PlusII的主要功能；VHDL语言在进行硬件电路描述时所具有的多层次描述系统硬件功能的能力，以及在程序编译时易出现的问题。     

浅谈搞好高校电子阅览室工作应注意的问题

论述了要使高校电子阅览室很好地发挥效能,应当注意的几个方面。     

μA级低功耗流量检测仪的设计

针对目前的流量检测仪在缺乏供电的场所无法对流量进行连续监测的问题,提出一种以零功耗磁敏传感器为信号采集前端,以低功耗MSP430F413单片机为控制器的流量检测仪的设计方法.介绍其工作原理和关键芯片的选型、硬件电路和软件流程.用此方法设计的流量检测仪功耗只有μA级,采用普通锂电池供电,非常适合在没有通电的地方使用.     

试论词义术语化流程中的转换机制及语义特征

本文从分析科技术语的基本特点入手,深入讨论了术语体系中兼容语词的语义特征及其转换机制。从而为揭示词义术语化流程的基本规律提供了重要的依据。     

Error rates in quadratic discrimination with constraints on the covariance matrices

In multivariate discrimination of several normal populations, the optimal classification procedure is based on quadratic discriminant functions. We compare expected error rates of the quadratic classification procedure if the covariance matrices are estimated under the following four models: (i) arbitrary covariance matrices, (ii) common principal components, (iii) proportional covariance matrices, and (iv) identical covariance matrices. Using Monte Carlo simulation to estimate expected error rates, we study the performance of the four discrimination procedures for five different parameter setups corresponding to standard situations that have been used in the literature. The procedures are examined for sample sizes ranging from 10 to 60, and for two to four groups. Our results quantify the extent to which a parsimonious method reduces error rates, and demonstrate that choosing a simple method of discrimination is often beneficial even if the underlying model assumptions are wrong.The authors wish to thank the editor and three referees for their helpful comments on the first draft of this article. M. J. Schmid supported by grants no. 2.724-0.85 and 2.038-0.86 of the Swiss National Science Foundation.     

嵌入式系统前端开发工具的设计与实现

主要介绍了为更好地对嵌入式系统中硬件环境作形式化描述而开发的ＥＨＤＬ语言,首先介绍了ＨＥＤＬ语言的设计模型和程序结构,然后介绍ＥＨＤＬ语言编译器的主要实现技术。