Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

带有临界增长的Kirchhoff方程极小能量变号解的存在性

为了深入研究Kirchhoff方程的性质,讨论了带有Hartree项和临界增长非线性项的Kirchhoff方程极小能量变号解的存在性。利用能量泛函在变号Nehari流形上的下确界C_λ收敛于0,得到空间E紧嵌入L~6(R~3)这一技术性结果。结果表明,利用限制变分方法和定量形变引理获得极小化序列对应的极小值点是该问题的非平凡解。研究方法在理论证明方面得到了良好的结果,对研究其他Kirchhoff方程解的存在性有一定的指导意义。     

超临界水氧化处理有机物废料的新技术

和传统方法相比，超临界水氧化处理有机物废料有着极大的优势。介绍了处理废料的原理和工业应用的可能性。     

例析五华话的量词重叠

五华话的量词重叠形式颇有特色,有"从"形式、"一AA哩"形式、"A实A哩"形式。三种重叠形式在句法功能和语法意义方面有一定的差异。     

西方语言学中主流话语与批评话语的关系

对语言本质及其实现形式的不同看法构成了当今语言学界的焦点话题之一。主流话语和批评话语在对语言的态度上形成了复杂的关系，澄清其视角之不同是对语言深刻认识的必要前提。     

Total systems intervention and human inquiry: The search for a common ground

Total Systems Intervention (TSI) is an approach to intervening in problem situations which has much to offer where complex interacting issues need to be addressed by the complementary use of intervention methodologies. That such an approach has much in common with Action Research (AR) has been recognized, with much recent effort being devoted to the relationship between AR and Critical Systems Thinking (CST), the theoretical endeavor underpinning TSI. This paper further develops this line of debate and relates AR or Human Inquiry (HI) more directly to TSI, using an information systems intervention to enhance the study. The outcome is a demonstration of how TSI implicitly uses techniques informed from the field of Action Research, and how a more thorough synthesis of HI with TSI might serve to improve the overall intervention process.     

夹具设计中定位误差的新方法——向量分析法

就夹具设计中定位误差分析方法，提出了一种向量分析法，阐述了这种分析方法的思路和步骤。     

关于一个非线性椭圆特征问题的某些注记

讨论一个非线性椭圆特征问题，减弱了原有结果中的一个条件而得到同样的结果，并讨论了参数小于λ１的情形。     

一类幂数列的单调性

关于一类幂数列的单调性已经有了一些特殊结果 ,而该文以导数为工具 ,通过对幂指型函数图象特征的讨论 ,构造出一个特殊的数列 { bk} ,解决了该类幂数列的单调性 ,得到了 2个有趣的结果。当 l 相似文献   

知识分子的批判精神和现代性危机的解决

当代西方学者正在深入讨论现代性给知识分子生活带来的深刻变化。在现代性危机状态下,反思批判性知识分子的历史使命,这对中国知识分子在现代化进程中如何履行应有的职责,不乏启发意义。