Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

从猪血中制备原卟啉甲酯的新方法

本文报导由猪血制备原卟啉甲酯的一种新方法,木法成本低廉,设备简单,产率较高,得到的产物容易纯化,并对产物进行了IR_.~iHNMR.UV等波谱解析。     

基因工程菌株EscherichiacoliC600（pRLK14）的流加培养

在１Ｌ搅拌发酵罐中对含有重组质粒ｐＲＬＫ１４的大肠杆菌进行了培养。结果表明，采用二段培养法，于３４℃增殖细菌，在对数增殖后期升温到４２℃进行诱导，可以高效表达基因产品半乳糖激酶。诱导期，醋酸浓度增长较快，模拟实验表明，控制醋酸浓度可进一步提高半乳糖缴酶产率。     

运动生化实验室建设和改革的实践与思考

本文浅谈了我院运动生化实验室建设和改革的一些实践经验,并提出了今后的发展设想。     

日本林蛙部分生理生化指标的比较

本文介绍我们对日本林蛙(Rana j.japonica)在冬眠期(12～2月,5.5～8.5℃)与活动期(9～11月,12.5～24℃)的部分生理生化指标的比较.测定了血清、肝、脑、心肌和骨骼肌的乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)同工酶的相对活力(±SD)、血红蛋白浓度及红细胞数等指标.这些指标不仅存在明显的组织差异,也存在季节差异和种群差异.     

试论词义术语化流程中的转换机制及语义特征

本文从分析科技术语的基本特点入手,深入讨论了术语体系中兼容语词的语义特征及其转换机制。从而为揭示词义术语化流程的基本规律提供了重要的依据。     

Error rates in quadratic discrimination with constraints on the covariance matrices

In multivariate discrimination of several normal populations, the optimal classification procedure is based on quadratic discriminant functions. We compare expected error rates of the quadratic classification procedure if the covariance matrices are estimated under the following four models: (i) arbitrary covariance matrices, (ii) common principal components, (iii) proportional covariance matrices, and (iv) identical covariance matrices. Using Monte Carlo simulation to estimate expected error rates, we study the performance of the four discrimination procedures for five different parameter setups corresponding to standard situations that have been used in the literature. The procedures are examined for sample sizes ranging from 10 to 60, and for two to four groups. Our results quantify the extent to which a parsimonious method reduces error rates, and demonstrate that choosing a simple method of discrimination is often beneficial even if the underlying model assumptions are wrong.The authors wish to thank the editor and three referees for their helpful comments on the first draft of this article. M. J. Schmid supported by grants no. 2.724-0.85 and 2.038-0.86 of the Swiss National Science Foundation.     

高硅沸石中二元物系表面扩散系数的预测

用动力学蒙特卡罗（Kinetic Monte Carlo，KMC）方法模拟客体分子单组分及双组分混合物在高硅沸石（Silicalite）分子筛中的扩散，与分子动力学（Molecular Dynamics，MD）方法的模拟结果及Maxwell-Stefan（M-S）方程计算对比说明KMC方法的合理性，而由真实的体系性质获得正确的跳跃频率值及合适的晶格模型是获得正确计算结果的关键，且一旦由单组分研究获得正确的跳跃频率值及晶格模型，便可直接移用至多组分体系的KMC模拟中。     

典型受载铁磁构件的数值模拟和磁特性

研究了铁磁构件在受载状态下表面产生漏磁的磁记忆现象,对含小孔平板进行了有限元分析,实测了受拉伸载荷时的漏磁场值.结果表明,应力集中对构件的磁特性有显著影响,在应力引起的小范围塑性变形区域存在有效的磁记忆信号,采用磁记忆方法对设备承载铁磁构件由应力集中造成的早期损伤进行检测是可行的.     

小麦RIL群体中籽粒蛋白质组分的分离与主要品质性状的相关分析

利用普通小麦重组自交系群体为材料,研究了小麦籽粒蛋白质组分在后代群体中的分离和分布,同时对籽粒蛋白质组分与其它主要品质指标的关系进行了研究.结果发现籽粒蛋白质组分在群体后代中表现为微效多基因控制的数量性状,相对亲本的性状变异较大.醇溶蛋白和谷蛋白相对含量与湿面筋含量、SDS沉降值之间呈显著正相关,与硬度呈正相关.清蛋白、球蛋白相对含量与湿面筋含量、SDS沉降值和硬度呈负相关.