天然自然与人工自然的张力--信息论视域中的SARS事件形而上学探源

自然界在人类出现以前以天然自然的状态存在着，遵循自己固有的演化规律。人类创造的人工自然中所蕴含的人工信息具有直接和间接效应，其中间接效应尤其具有不可预测、难以控制、不可逆、强度大等特点。随着科学技术的发展，人工信息及其给生态系统和人类社会带来的效应都飞速增加。人类社会对人工信息的正面效应和负面效应的承受力是不对称的，大量增加的负面效应(例如非典病毒)如果超过临界值，可以将人类社会摧毁。因此它预示眷一个新时代的来临。     

太白山国家森林公园游客结构及行为特征研究

基于实地问卷调查资料,通过对太白山国家森林公园的游客结构及其行为特征分析,指出其主体客源为省内大中城市居民,游客年轻化的趋势较明显且以中低收入者为主,旅游活动是以基本层次的旅游观光居优;该旅游景区的自然风光使近80%游客的美感体验得到满足、且游客感应最深的是清新空气、山地气候及森林植被等,相对较差的是宗教文化;此外,四成多的游客对旅游服务质量不满意.针对上述结果,就太白山国家森林公园开拓客流市场、促销定位、促使其可持续旅游业发展提出理性建议.     

Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

太行山长城岭南山东北坡植被的研究

本文研究了太行山长城岭南山东北坡的植被分布及其特征。结果表明,从山麓至山顶,由于气候条件随海拨的逐渐升高而产生了明显的垂直变化,从而导致了植被分布的垂直变化。从山麓至山顶依次分布有落叶阔叶林、针阔混交林、针叶林和落叶阔叶灌丛等四个植被型、并因人为干扰落叶阔叶林正向针阔叶混交林和针叶林方向演替。     

The Symbolic Meanings of the Forest in The Scarlet Letter by Nathaniel Hawthorn

The symbols in Hawthorne’s masterpiece The Scarlet Letter have the characteristics of indefiniteness and multi-sense. Each character brings out a different side of the forest,however the forest also brings out a different side in each character.The forest reflects multi-dimension. The image of ＂woods＂ or ＂forest＂ in The Scarlet Letter manifests Horthorne＇s understanding and exploring of the human nature. The forest may stand for individual freedom,innocence,truth,danger and evil as well.     

论辅助生殖技术引发的伦理问题及其应对机制

简单介绍了辅助生殖技术,分析了辅助生殖技术引发的伦理问题,提出了应对这些伦理问题的机制。     

论文化建设在林区发展中的作用

以山西省五台山国有林管理局为例,阐述了林区文化建设的重要性及文化建设在林区发展中的重要作用。     

森林资源调查方法存在的问题及对策

对临汾市历年来森林资源调查方法存在的问题进行了分析,提出了完善森林资源调查的对策。