Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

煤吸附解吸电磁改性及定量分析

用容量法对焦作朱村矿变质无烟煤在不同频率的交变电磁场中吸附解吸特征进行了研究。实验结果表明：不同频率的交变电磁场作用下，煤吸附C02、N2仍旧符合Langmiur方程；交变电磁场减弱了煤的吸附能力，减小了吸附常数b值，但饱和吸附量(a值)基本上不变．是典型的表面改性现象，并从量的角度分析其改性的程度。     

一种基于语言评价信息的多指标群决策方法

针对一类带有自然语言评价信息的多指标群决策问题，给出一种新的群集结和方案优选方法。首先采用近年来最新发展的LWD算子和LOWA算子直接集结每个决策者给出的自然语言评价信息，以得到群的方案评价值，然后根据语言短语集的自身顺序进行方案优选。利用该方法不仅可以确定最优方案，而且还可得到群决策结果的可信程度。最后给出了一个算例。     

小型水电站电气自动控制设备合理设置刍议——降低小水电造价的有效措施之二

本文综合介绍了在我国农村小型水电站建设中,直流电源和交流电源的使用情况,自动化控制设备的设置和使用情况,小型水轮发电机励磁系统的设置和性能比较,并据此提出如何合理设置小型水电站的操作和保护电源、电气自动化控制设备和小型水轮发电机励磁系统的选择,在保证小型水电站安全可靠运行的前提下尽量简化这些设备的设置,以降低小水电的造价。     

试论词义术语化流程中的转换机制及语义特征

本文从分析科技术语的基本特点入手,深入讨论了术语体系中兼容语词的语义特征及其转换机制。从而为揭示词义术语化流程的基本规律提供了重要的依据。     

Error rates in quadratic discrimination with constraints on the covariance matrices

In multivariate discrimination of several normal populations, the optimal classification procedure is based on quadratic discriminant functions. We compare expected error rates of the quadratic classification procedure if the covariance matrices are estimated under the following four models: (i) arbitrary covariance matrices, (ii) common principal components, (iii) proportional covariance matrices, and (iv) identical covariance matrices. Using Monte Carlo simulation to estimate expected error rates, we study the performance of the four discrimination procedures for five different parameter setups corresponding to standard situations that have been used in the literature. The procedures are examined for sample sizes ranging from 10 to 60, and for two to four groups. Our results quantify the extent to which a parsimonious method reduces error rates, and demonstrate that choosing a simple method of discrimination is often beneficial even if the underlying model assumptions are wrong.The authors wish to thank the editor and three referees for their helpful comments on the first draft of this article. M. J. Schmid supported by grants no. 2.724-0.85 and 2.038-0.86 of the Swiss National Science Foundation.     

应用综合法计算复杂的交流磁路

用网络拓扑法建立交流磁路的等效电路的网络方程;用三次样条插值法迫近铁心材料的Ｂ～Ｈ曲线;用边界元法计算平行铁心间的漏磁导;用线性迭代法计算网络的非线方程组．阐明了综合法计算的原理,并附有应用实例．     

高硅沸石中二元物系表面扩散系数的预测

用动力学蒙特卡罗（Kinetic Monte Carlo，KMC）方法模拟客体分子单组分及双组分混合物在高硅沸石（Silicalite）分子筛中的扩散，与分子动力学（Molecular Dynamics，MD）方法的模拟结果及Maxwell-Stefan（M-S）方程计算对比说明KMC方法的合理性，而由真实的体系性质获得正确的跳跃频率值及合适的晶格模型是获得正确计算结果的关键，且一旦由单组分研究获得正确的跳跃频率值及晶格模型，便可直接移用至多组分体系的KMC模拟中。     

典型受载铁磁构件的数值模拟和磁特性

研究了铁磁构件在受载状态下表面产生漏磁的磁记忆现象,对含小孔平板进行了有限元分析,实测了受拉伸载荷时的漏磁场值.结果表明,应力集中对构件的磁特性有显著影响,在应力引起的小范围塑性变形区域存在有效的磁记忆信号,采用磁记忆方法对设备承载铁磁构件由应力集中造成的早期损伤进行检测是可行的.     

小麦RIL群体中籽粒蛋白质组分的分离与主要品质性状的相关分析

利用普通小麦重组自交系群体为材料,研究了小麦籽粒蛋白质组分在后代群体中的分离和分布,同时对籽粒蛋白质组分与其它主要品质指标的关系进行了研究.结果发现籽粒蛋白质组分在群体后代中表现为微效多基因控制的数量性状,相对亲本的性状变异较大.醇溶蛋白和谷蛋白相对含量与湿面筋含量、SDS沉降值之间呈显著正相关,与硬度呈正相关.清蛋白、球蛋白相对含量与湿面筋含量、SDS沉降值和硬度呈负相关.