环境规制政策与公共健康——基于环境污染的中介效应检验

为了探究环境规制政策对于环境污染及公共健康的影响,本文基于我国1978至2013年颁布的976条环境规制政策,利用从政策属性力度、政策内容力度两个维度对我国环境规制政策进行量化的数据,构建了针对环境规制政策效果的计量模型,通过将中介效应检验方法引入环境健康经济学分析,检验了环境污染对环境规制政策与公共健康的中介效应.研究结果表明:环境规制政策对公共健康具有促进作用;我国总体的环境规制政策对于防治环境污染产生了一定程度的积极效果;环境规制政策通过对环境污染显著的部分中介效应进而对公共健康产生了促进作用.本研究基于总体环境规制政策文献量化角度考察的"政策-环境-健康"三维动态关系结果,阐明了环境规制政策、环境污染以及公共健康三者的影响传输路径,对于有效评估环境规制政策效果,保障环境质量以及公共健康的可持续提升具有理论借鉴价值.     

道琼斯工业指数与纳斯达克指数的非线性协整分析

首先对道琼斯工业指数进行分整分析,长记忆的道指被分数维差分得到平稳时间序列;进而对纳指也进行分数维差分.由于两指数的分整阶数不同,故不存在线性协整关系,所以,文章着重讨论两指数的非线性协整关系.     

The melatonin rhythm: both a clock and a calendar

The paper briefly reviews the data which shows that the circadian production and secretion of melatonin by the pineal gland can impart both daily, i.e., clock, and seasonal, i.e., calendar, information to the organism. The paper summarizes the 3 patterns of nocturnal melatonin production that have been described. Clearly, regardless of the pattern of nocturnal melatonin production a particular species normally displays, the duration of nightime elevated melatonin is proportional to the duration of the night length. Since daylength under natural conditions changes daily the melatonin rhythm, which adjusts to the photoperiod sends time of year information to the organism. The melatonin receptors which subserve the clock message sent by the pineal gland in the form of a melatonin cycle may reside in the biological clock itself, namely, the suprachiasmatic nuclei (SCN). The melatonin receptors that mediate seasonal changes in reproductive physiology are presumably those that are located on the pars tuberalis cells of the anterior pituitary gland. Besides these receptors which likely mediate clock and calendar information, melatonin receptors have been described in other organs. Interestingly, the distribution of melatonin receptors is highly species-specific. Whereas the clock and calendar information that the melatonin cycle imparts to the organism relies on cell membrane receptors, a fact that is of some interest considering the high lipophilicity of melatonin, recent studies indicate that other functions of melatonin may require no receptor whatsoever.     

Unit roots versus other types of time heterogeneity,parameter time dependence and superexogeneity

This paper stresses the restrictive nature of the standard unit root/cointegration assumptions and examines a more general type of time heterogeneity, which might characterize a number of economic variables, and which results in parameter time dependence and misleading statistical inference. We show that in such cases ‘operational’ models cannot be obtained, and the estimation of time‐varying parameter models becomes necessary. For instance, economic processes subject to endemic change can only be adequately modelled in a state space form. This is a very important point, because unstable models will break down when used for forecasting purposes. We also discuss a new test for the null of cointegration developed by Quintos and Phillips (1993), which is based on parameter constancy in cointegrating regressions. Finally, we point out that, if it is possible to condition on a subset of superexogenous variables, parameter instability can be handled by estimating a restricted system. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

水分在季节性冻土中的运动

季节性冻土是一种冰水共存的特殊土水体系,在分析冻土中水分运动的驱动力及其影响因素,冻土介质的物理特性（热特性和水力特性）及其参数测定方法的基础上,综述了水分在冻土中运动的基本规律及定量研究水分运动的试验与数值模拟方法。     

大连市区大气中PAHs来源、分布及随季节变化分析

多环芳烃PAHs是公认危害性最大的大气污染物，研究其在城市大气中的分布、季节变化及对其来源的识别判定可为PAHs污染防治提供科学依据。以大连市为例，分析了PAHs在市区大气中的分布，揭示了不同季节的浓度变化规律，对大气中的PAHs的来源进行了判别。结果表明，大连市区大气中的PAHs主要分布在交通繁华区和工业区；冬季浓度明显高于夏季；冬季污染主要来源于燃煤取暖，夏季为机动车尾气和燃煤的混合。     

封闭式基金价格和资产净值动态关系的实证研究

在构造中国封闭式基金价格指数和资产净值指数的基础上，首先使用协整检验和误差修正模型证明2001年1月到2002年12月封闭式基金价格和资产净值NAV之间存在长期均衡关系，然后利用脉冲响应函数和方差分解技术揭示了基金价格和资产净值之间的短期动态关系，即基金价格受到资产净值的约束。     

大熊猫精子发生及年龄,季节变化

本文首次系统地对不同季节，不同年龄大熊猫睾丸组织进行了精子发生的细胞学观察，以及曲细精发育的测定。大熊猫精子发生分批进行，在曲细精管切面，从基膜向管腔分别为精原细胞，初级精母细胞，次级精母细胞，精细胞及变态精子。     

Seasonal variation of snow microbial community structure in the East Rongbuk glacier, Mt. Everest

Mt. Everest, the zenith of the world, plays an impor- tant role in the global climate change. During the lastdecade, some studies on glacier and snow have been undertaken in this region. The climate and environment changes in the past hundred years have b…     

北京大气中痕量烷烃的浓度分析与研究

采用二步深冷浓缩与气相色谱质谱联用（ACIS-GC／MS）对北京大气中痕量烷烃进行长期连续观测，观测数据表明：日变化有双峰和三峰变化，冬、春呈现与交通高峰吻合的双峰变化，即：上午08：00点至10：00和下午17：00前后各出现一个高值；四季日变化中夜间22：00出现第三峰值；夏季变化呈三峰型，最大值在正午前后．季变化峰值出现在夏季，低值出现在冬季．