密度演化方法在求解股市上扬天数中的应用

将股市上扬的天数转化为随机游程的长度，利用密度演化方法求得了股市上扬天数的分布以及均值和方差该文首次将密度演化方法用来研究股市的一般宏观规律，其结论可指导投资决策．     

浅析"监督总体合格"与"监督抽查合格"

文章阐述了监督总体质量和监督抽查中的合格、不合格的涵义。     

关于随机微分系统的M_0—稳定性

本文的目的是将确定性常微系统的M_0—稳定性概念与结果,推广到一般随机微分系统.然后,利用这些结果来研究随机受扰确定性系统M_0—稳定性的条件;借助未受扰确定性系统的Lynpunov一型函数及比较方法,得到了随机受扰系统M_0—几乎必然一致渐近稳定性与M_0—p阶矩一致渐近稳定性的充分条件.     

Forecasting volatility by means of threshold models

The aim of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of competing threshold models, in order to capture the asymmetric effect in the volatility. We focus on examining the relative out‐of‐sample forecasting ability of the SETAR‐Threshold GARCH (SETAR‐TGARCH) and the SETAR‐Threshold Stochastic Volatility (SETAR‐THSV) models compared to the GARCH model and Stochastic Volatility (SV) model. However, the main problem in evaluating the predictive ability of volatility models is that the ‘true’ underlying volatility process is not observable and thus a proxy must be defined for the unobservable volatility. For the class of nonlinear state space models (SETAR‐THSV and SV), a modified version of the SIR algorithm has been used to estimate the unknown parameters. The forecasting performance of competing models has been compared for two return time series: IBEX 35 and S&P 500. We explore whether the increase in the complexity of the model implies that its forecasting ability improves. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

数学期望模型应用实例

混合样本检验法是预防医学中常用的方法，通过建立数学期望模型，可以在定量分析中减少检测次数，达到减少工作量，提高工作效率的目的。     

双参数随机Sierpinski垫的相位曲线

引入双参数随机置换，考虑了具有参数ｐ，ｑ的随机Ｓｉｅｒｐｉｎｓｋｉ垫的各种形态的相位，讨论了ｐ，ｑ跨跃某些相位曲线时，其构成形态的变化情形，它包括了ｑ＝０的Ｓｉｅｒｐｉｎｓｋｉ垫和ｑ＝ｐ的Ｍａｎｄｅｌｂｒｏｔ渗流模型。     

钢丝绳断丝定量检测中径向随机晃动误差的补尝

本文论述了钢丝绳断丝定量检测中径向随机晃动误差存在的必然性及该误差对定量检测的影响,基于模拟实验结果,给出了适用于多种类型钢丝绳的V_H-S数学关系式;提出了波形因素的概念与形式,并用软件实现了钢丝绳断丝定量检测中径向随机晃动误差的补偿。     

Local canonical correlation coefficients and canonical variables of groups of random variables

The concepts of local correlation coefficient, local canonical correlation coefficients and local canonical variables of groups of random variables are defined, which generalize the classical concepts in two groups of random variables.These concepts together with total corresponding concepts clarify the correlativity among groups of random variables.     

Something about random normed modules

The fourth axiom in the definition of real random normed module is superfluous. A necesmry and sufficient condition is given that continuous random linear functionals over complex random normed spaces are a. s. bounded, and furthermore, in the sense of inometrical isomorphism it is proved the fourth axiom in the complex random normed module is superfluous.     

变质量高阶非线性非完整系统的相对论性Kane方程

本文在同时考虑经典变质量和相对论变质量的情况下,由相对论性成有Ｄ’Ａｌｅｍｂｅｒｔ原理推导出变质量高阶非线性非完整系统的相对论性Ｋａｎｅ方程。