创新研究系统隐性知识生成转化反馈环特性仿真分析

隐性知识反馈环结构是创新研究系统的核心结构,运用组织管理系统动力学理论,进行科研创新系统隐性知识生产转化系统仿真研究,以南昌大学系统动力学创新团队研究系统为例,分析确定该系统的隐性知识量、显性知识量、创新投资量、团队人员数和创新成果量五个核心变量,运用新建的逐枝建模和逐树仿真技术建立五棵流率基本入树模型及其等价流图模型.运用枝向量行列式新增反馈环计算法,计算出系统包含创新成果流位作用于隐性知识流入率的第一类反馈环五条,团队成员数作用于隐性知识流入率第二类正反馈环十条.然后,结合模型的仿真曲线和仿真数据,对第一类反馈环进行极性转移仿真分析和主导反馈环转移仿真分析,对第二类正反馈环进行正反馈环的作用分析,以及"原始创新度"低对这十条正反馈环的制约分析,并基于上述十五条反馈环特性仿真分析结果提出四条创新研究系统发展对策.     

Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

医药洁净室的计算流体动力学模拟及实测对比

采用计算流体动力学(CFD)模拟,研究3个医药洁净室的气流流型及颗粒物浓度.采用标准k-ε双方程模型,通过模拟颗粒物在洁净室的分布,分析合理的污染物散发位置及散发比例.对比参考发尘量下的结果与实测数据的差异,根据实测数据确定污染散发量,通过试验不同的单位容积发尘量,计算对应的洁净度,得到与实测数据吻合最好的单位容积发尘量.在单位容积发尘量为1 000pc·(m3·min)-1计算条件下,各房间的模拟结果与实测数据数值比较吻合,且经CFD预测的3个房间的洁净度变化趋势与实测一致.     

用带时序子模块的系统动力学模型预测Brent原油价格

提出在系统动力学模型中加入时序自回归AR(p)子模块，并且自动确定每个AR(p)子模块的阶数p。带时序子模块的系统动力学模型既体现了因素问的横向因果关系，又体现了每个因素的纵向关系。建立欧佩克(OPEC)石油产量、世界GDP、煤炭产量与价格、天然气、需求量、供求差额、消费系数、非欧佩克石油产量、非欧佩克供求差额，石油库存和OPEC组织的期望油价共十一个因素影响下的Brent原油价格预测模型，模型的预测结果表明：在系统动力学模型中加入时序自回归AR(p)子模块的方法是可行的、有效的，并且能提高模型的预测精度。     

带电胶体系统固液相变的分子动力学研究

在修正Yukawa相互作用的基础上，采用常温分子动力学方法数值研究了带电胶体系统的大离子屏蔽效应和多分散性效应对其固液边界的影响．研究结果发现，在屏蔽长度较大时，固液相变曲线出现了明显偏差．初步定性认为这种相边界偏差现象来自于系统多体效应的增强．另外，数值研究了固液相变时键接取向序参数的变化．     

Interaction Dynamics in AEC Global Teamwork

Architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) global project teamwork is communication intensive and relies heavily on synchronous and asynchronous information and collaboration technologies (ICT). We explore in this paper how an asynchronous ICT, called ThinkTank, reshaped the work practice of design-construction global teams, and how the interaction with this ICT reshaped the purpose and benefits of its use. ThinkTank is a web-based asynchronous collaboration and discussion forum. We introduce the influence diffusion model (IDM) that formalizes the process of identifying the influence of people, messages, and terms mathematically. Discovering who the influence leaders in project teams are can be beneficial and critical from a corporate management perspective, since they can guide or motivate the team towards successful actions and outcomes. We present the ThinkTank-IDM integrated system and its validation with a testbed of 53 AEC global team project archived in ThinkTank over 8 years.     

液压管道中液-固耦合作用的模态综合法

针对液压管道的振动问题提出一种新的建模方法,即先采用左,右复模态分析方法建立管道结构模型和用频率相关摩擦模型建立液体模型,再引入模态综合理论综合结构模型和液体动态模型,在复数域中建立液-固耦合振动模型,且提出模态综合法的要点,由数值例子说明此方法是合理的。     

高速磁浮曲线地段简支轨道梁墩体系动力响应仿真

应用桥梁动力学、车辆动力学和电磁相互作用原理建立了高速常导磁浮交通车-梁-墩体系动力分析模型,利用数值积分求解了大规模非线性耦合动力方程.在此基础上结合具体线路条件进行了车线耦合动力学检算,得到了曲线地段车辆及梁墩体系动力响应基本规律.该部分的研究为制订合理的高速磁浮线路设计标准提供了理论依据.     

Simulation and Experimental Analysis of Super High-Speed Grinding of Ductile Material

This study aims to reduce the work-affected layer of the machined surface by carrying out the grinding at the speed over static pr o pagation speed of plastic wave of ductile materials and also aims to clarify suc h super high-speed machining mechanism.This paper reports on the result obtain ed through the molecular dynamics simulations and experiments on the super-spee d grinding below and beyond static propagation speed of aluminum.From the simul ation results,it is verified that the plastic deformation ...