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Wojciech W. Charemza 《Journal of forecasting》2002,21(6):417-433
Macroeconomic model builders attempting to construct forecasting models frequently face constraints of data scarcity in terms of short time series of data, and also of parameter non‐constancy and underspecification. Hence, a realistic alternative is often to guess rather than to estimate parameters of such models. This paper concentrates on repetitive guessing (drawing) parameters from iteratively changing distributions, with the straightforward objective function being that of minimization of squares of ex‐post prediction errors, weighted by penalty weights and subject to a learning process. The examples are those of a Monte Carlo analysis of a regression problem and of a dynamic disequilibrium model. It is also an example of an empirical econometric model of the Polish economy. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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LIN Wuzhong LIANG Yanchun LEE Kwok Hong LIM Siak Piang LEE Heow Pueh 《自然科学进展(英文版)》2003,13(3):219-227
A doubly clamped microbeam actuated by electrostatic force with squeezed gas film damping is a well-known and standard micro-device in microelectromechanical system (MEMS) for many researchers to demonstrate how reduced-order dynamic macromodel is an effective way to faithfully capture the device behaviors. However it still takes time to directly recompute the time-dependant nonlinear terms in macromodels which are generated by a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) method with Galerkin procedure at every time step during the macromodel simulation. This paper proposes two methods for speeding up the computation of macromodel simulations. In the first method, the computation speedup is achieved based on the concept of precomputation upon the basis functions are available. In the second method, cubic splines approximation is used to interpolate the basis functions and their first and second derivatives, and spatial integration is performed by application of the Gaussian quadrature. Numerical results show both methods could enhance the efficiency of the macromodel simulation compared with our previous computation results 相似文献
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