极小化不可行量函数的Flow Shop变异问题

讨论一类Flowshop的变异问题。在这类变异问题中 ,给定一个截止工期 ,该工期比Flowshop最优调度中的最大完工时间小。讨论的问题是在全部工件的完工时间不超过截止工期的限制下 ,极小化不可行量函数。这类问题与矩阵函数因子分解有着密切联系。基于对问题的分析 ,证明了这一问题等价于单机调度中极小化类似的延迟量函数。推广了已有的结论。     

Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

拥挤交通流的行为分析与仿真建模

从分析拥挤状况的交通行为特性出发，建立了相应的仿真模型。该模型在跟车子模型加入了随机扰动项，换道子模型的可行性检测中加入了前后间距不足时司机的减速行为。与传统模型相比该模型能更好地反映拥挤流下的交通行为，更适合于拥挤状况的交通微观仿真。     

Forecasting volatility by means of threshold models

The aim of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of competing threshold models, in order to capture the asymmetric effect in the volatility. We focus on examining the relative out‐of‐sample forecasting ability of the SETAR‐Threshold GARCH (SETAR‐TGARCH) and the SETAR‐Threshold Stochastic Volatility (SETAR‐THSV) models compared to the GARCH model and Stochastic Volatility (SV) model. However, the main problem in evaluating the predictive ability of volatility models is that the ‘true’ underlying volatility process is not observable and thus a proxy must be defined for the unobservable volatility. For the class of nonlinear state space models (SETAR‐THSV and SV), a modified version of the SIR algorithm has been used to estimate the unknown parameters. The forecasting performance of competing models has been compared for two return time series: IBEX 35 and S&P 500. We explore whether the increase in the complexity of the model implies that its forecasting ability improves. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

实现自动化测试系统中串行通信若干问题的研究

本文讨论研究了计算机与智能仪器串行通信的主要问题,首先分析了这种串行通信的特点,阐述了计算机串行通信方式的选择,接口硬件的连接及软件的编程。重点讨论了实现串行通信中的通信协议、流量控制和差错检测,经在PC—386工控机与数种智能仪器的串行通信实验,得到了令人满意的良好效果。文中提出的内容是理论与实践结合的经验总结,它对从事于计算机与智能仪器串行通信工作的人员具有重要的参考价值。     

On the sign of the optimal combining weights under the error-variance minimizing criterion

Building on the well-known measure of the optimal combining weights under the error-variance minimizing criterion, this note has extended the sign-determination rule to the case of combining more than two competing forecasts. The algebraic rule derived provides a quick way to check the sign of each combining weight without directly comparing the correlation and variances of individual forecasting errors.     

Artificial Neural Network for Combining Forecasts

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EQUILIBRIUM ALGORITHMS WITH NONMONOTONE LINE SEARCH TECHNIQUE FOR SOLVING THE TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT PROBLEMS

This paper presents a unified bination algorithms （such as FrankWolfe problems. Global convergence results are framework of the nonmonotone convex comAlgorithm） for solving the traffic assignment established under mild conditions. The line search procedure used in our algorithm includes the nonmonotone Armijo rule, the non- monotone Goldstein rule and the nonmonotone Wolfe rule as special cases. So, the new algorithm can be viewed as a generalization of the regular convex combination algorithm.     

基于时空图注意力的短期电力负荷预测方法

准确的电力负荷预测对现代电力系统的安全经济运行至关重要.电力负荷预测可以表述为一个具有一定潜在空间依赖性的多变量时序预测问题.然而,大多数现有的电力负荷预测工作未能探索这种空间依赖关系.基于此,本文提出了一种基于时空图注意网络的短期电力负荷预测方法.提出一种基于时空图注意网络模块,该模块使用图注意层实现自适应的捕捉各用户间的潜在空间依赖性,同时使用门控卷积注意力层对各用户用电量在时间维度上进行自适应拟合,以提高网络的预测精度.实际数据实验表明,本文提出的模型整体预测精度提高明显,特别是在一定程度上缓解了长程预测精度恶化的问题,验证了所提方法的有效性与可行性.     

ZEZ—2型智能癌肿治疗仪原理与设计

ＺＥＺ－２型智能癌肿治疗仪治疗癌肿,是基于电化学治疗肿瘤的机理。与其它电化学癌肿治疗仪相比,该仪器具有治疗路数多,阳极可控稳流,阴极自动均流,整个治疗过程自动管理等特点,是一种能满足临床应用需要的新型治疗仪器。