西部大开发与投资主体结构调整

投资主体结构调整是投资结构调整的重点，也是我国全面实施经济结构调整中的重要组成部分，更是西部大开发的关键。西部地区要改变以前不合理的投资主体结构，需要从转变投资观念，改善投资环境，投资主体以政府投资为主转向多元化投资，投资客体从硬件力向软件等方面来调整投资结构。     

ON THE OPTIIMAL REACTIONS ASSEMBLAGE OF COMPLEX REACTION SYSTEMS

In this paper, the author analyzes distinguishing features of complex reaction systems and single reversible reaction, and optimizes complex reaction systems starting from set theory.The method of constructing the optimal reactions assemblage and calculating the potential maximum equilibrium yield (PMEY) of objective products is proposed here. This paper points out clearly that the euqilibrium yield of objective products calculated by means of conventional method is the global equilibrium yield (GEY).It is not the thermodynamic constraint, and could be exceeded by observed yield of objective products; only PMEY is the thermodynamic constraint. It gives information on potential and possible optimal yield and thereby improving production. This paper also points out the way in which the real complex reaction system approached the optimal reactions assemblage. The new concept of PMEY and optimal reaction assemblage proposed by this Paper is universally applicable for the important complex reaction systems, such as the pyrolysis of alkane to produce ethylene, steam reforming of methane to produce syngas, production of formaldehyde from methanol, epoxidation of ethylene to produce ethylene oxide, hydrogenation of benzene to produce cyclohexane.     

A Study on the Design for Object-Oriented Adaptive Decision-Making Teams

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Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

具有随机偏差的最优多段卡尔曼估值器

提出了具有随机偏差的最优多段卡尔曼估值器。针对状态模型与观测模型同时具有偏差且偏差模型噪声与状态模型噪声相关的情况 ,给出了具有随机偏差的状态方程的增广状态 ,并通过U V变换对卡尔曼估值器的协方差矩阵解耦得到了最优多段卡尔曼估值器。结果表明 ,多段卡尔曼估值器不仅是最优的 ,而且降低了计算的复杂度     

多专家集成式决策支持系统探讨

本文在文献[1]给出集成式决策支持系统(I—DSS)的基本概念及提出I—DSS的两种主要形式的基础上,对I—DSS的形式之一——多专家集成式决策支持系统(MEI—DSSS)作了较深入的探讨。本文阐述了MEI—DSS提出的原因,给出了MEI—DSS的基本概念,概述了MEI—DSS同相关学科和技术的关系,提出了MEI—DSS的基本结构框架,并从知识表示、推理机制以及多专家系统动态组合进行问题求解的算法实现等方面探讨了该系统在大型决策中的应用。本文最后提出了MEI—DSS今后有待深入研究的课题。     

异步DS-CDMA最优混沌序列集的性能分析

为了获得异步DS—CDMA系统的最优扩谱序列，给出了一套用来选取混沌二值序列的优化准则。基于这一优化准则，我们从Chebyshev映射生成的混沌序列中选取并构造出最优混沌二值序列集合。利用该集合作为异步DS-CDMA系统的扩谱序列，所得到的系统仿真结果符合最优扩谱序列的理论分析值，因此可以被认为是异步DS-CDMA系统的一个最优扩谱序列集合。     

森林面积分布系统的最优控制存在性问题

本文研究森林面积分布系统的最优控制问题。本文将林木总和长消率作为控制变量，以“范数最小”来衡量其最优性，利用空间Ｌ＾２（０，Ｔ）Ｔ〉０的自反、光滑和严格凸性，给出了森林面积分布系统最优控制的一个存在性定理。     

财政收支的预测与控制

运用最优控制论的原理与方法讨论了财政收支的预测模型与控制模型,并应用于制定国民经济发展规划．     

受扰动核反应堆系统的最优控制

本文讨论原子核反应堆系统在受外部中子源干扰时的最优控制问题。本文将散射裂变截面函数作为控制变量,以“范数最小”来衡量其最优性,证明了反应堆系统在受扰动时可控的,并给出了系统最优存在性和可逼近性。