基于老厂房改造的景观规划设计

随着城市化高速发展，老厂房再利用的问题日益急迫.上海是中国近代工业起源地,也是率先着手对彰显城市文脉的工业遗产进行调查和保护的历史文化名城.本文以上海典型案例入手，分析了具有代表性的老厂房改造的项目特点，并在此基础上，对常州大成三厂这一民国时期的纺织业遗留地块进行改造设计手法进行介绍，从设计理念、设计内容和节点设计3个方面，体现了文化传承和生态技术相融合理念.     

Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于可能性理论的柴油机故障诊断方法

本文提出了基于可能性测度的柴油机故障诊断方法.与概率测度相比,可能性测度更为适合,计算更为简单,在故障诊断中有着广泛的适用性。     

草酸生产水洗塔设计

对目前国内合成法生产草酸所用水洗塔,采用加大水量到50m~3/h,提高塔板开孔率到19.55%(一般推荐6%～12%),降低溢流堰高为25mm,增大降液管到下层塔板间距为95mm 的办法,使洗涤后的气体达到要求。     

中国股票市场分割(1991～2000)的理论探讨

与世界其他国家的证券市场相比,中国证券市场是一个高度分割的市场,这首先表现在它被划分成为A、B和H股三个市场,这三个市场不仅计价货币、交易机制和募集方式不同,而且各自允许开放的投资者对象也严格限定、互不开放。由此,这三个市场的股票价格彼此差别较大。重点考察了中国大陆的股票市场分割,其重要体现是中国B股市场普遍存在着严重的折价问题,在B股市场向国内持有外币的投资者开放之前,大多数上市公司B股价格不仅远低于其A股价格,有的还曾跌破发行价、资产净值和面值,这使得我国B股市场已经成为世界证券市场平均市盈率最低的市场,其平均市盈率只有11倍,这不仅大大低于A股市场平均市盈率(大于50倍),也低于国际股市的平均市盈率(15～20倍)。认为,资本控制,即投资限制、B股相对于A股的信息不对称和对人民币汇率的预期是形成B股折价的主要因素。     

提高大口径水表计量准确度的探讨

文章详细探讨了大口径水表在小流量下产生计量误差的原因,并结合使用现状,提出了以提高计量准确性来控制漏损的对策和措施。     

T＝∞跟踪问题的一种解法

跟踪问题是线性系统二次型性能指标最优控制讨论的一个重要应用问题。当终端时间T为有限时 ,很多文献都给出了适当的解法 ,但T =∞时的求解还有很多问题值得探讨。本文给出了终端T =∞时预期输出满足一定条件的跟踪问题的一种解法。此种情况可转化为输出调节器问题 ,并给出了具体的求解方法和例子。     

化学教学中文献探究教学模式初探

文章对文献探究教学模式的概念、特点、功能、评价以及适用范围进行了介绍;设计出文献探究教学模式在中学化学教学中的使用程序,并且指出了运用文献探究模式教学时需要注意的事项.     

Examination of naturally occurring polyacetylenes and α-terthienyl for their ability to induce cytogenetic damage

Summary -Terthienyl and 5 polyacetylenes were examined for chromosome damaging activity using Syrian hamster cells. None of these naturally occurring compounds induced sister chromatid exchanges and neither -terthienyl nor phenylheptatriyne induced chromosome aberrations.The authors wish to thank the National Science and Engineering Research Council for financial support of this research.