Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis Method of Armored Equipment Based on Testability Growth

In view of the low level testability of armored equipment,the important significance of armored equipment testability growth is discussed in this paper.The failure mode effects and criticality analysis( FMECA) method to realize testability growth is introduced.Centering on the testability growth demands of new armored equipment,the deficiencies of traditional FMECA are analyzed.And an enhanced FMECA( EFMECA) method is proposed.The method increases the analysis contents,combines the information before the failure occurrence and impending failure modes together organically.Then the failure symptoms is analyzed,the failure modes and effects is determined,and the state development trend is predicted.Finally,the application of EFMECA method is illustrated by the example of the failure mode of typical armored equipment engine.     

基于分形和支持向量机的装备技术状态预测模型

基于分形和支持向量机回归理论,建立了装备技术状态预测模型.将反映装备运行状态的特征数据作为时间序列,首先进行相空间重构,得到时间序列的最小嵌入维数,以此作为支持向量机输入节点数.利用支持向量机对样本训练,建立预测模型.以装备振动信号预测为实例,表明将时间序列最小嵌入维数作为支持向量机输入节点数目,所建立的模型是最优的.支持向量机预测结果和真实值相比误差较小,可以满足装备技术状态分析和预测的要求.