Ruin Probability with Variable Premium Rate and Disturbed by Diffusion in a Markovian Environment

We consider a risk model with a premium rate which varies with the level of free reserves. In this model, the occurrence of claims is described by a Cox process with Markov intensity process, and the influence of stochastic factors is considered by adding a diffusion process. The integro-differential equation for the ruin probability is derived by a infinitesimal method.     

构造概率模型巧妙解决数学问题

举例说明如何构造概率模型解决代数、分析中的一些问题，进一步阐述概率思想应用的广泛性．     

减少化验次数的一个优化模型

依据数学理论证明在一定条件下，可以减少化验次数；并给出了选择方法；建立了一个减少化验次数的优化模型。     

变系数Helmholtz方程本征值问题差分近似的六阶校正法

给出了变系数Helmholtz方程的六阶高精度校正法。此校正过程几乎不增加工作量，而校正后精度比未校正提高了四阶，并能提供后验误差估计。同时，对于常系数Helmholtz方程，给出了八阶校正格式。     

实现汽车发动机可变气门相位的新方法

介绍一种用于双顶置凸轮轴式发动机的采用两级谐波传动的新型进气凸轮轴调相机构。它由输入刚轮（正时带轮）、柔轮、输出刚轮（与进气凸轮轴联接）、固定波发生器、动波发生器和步进电机等组成。用步进电机驱动动波发生器可改变输出、输入刚轮的相对位置，从而改变进气相位。该机构能在很大角度范围内，以小步长实现多级调相，轴向尺寸小，转动惯量小，控制驱动功率小。２００ｈ试验表明，该机构工作可靠，能够准确地根据控制信号进行凸轮轴的调相。     

基于神经网络的建筑行业投标报价研究

在建筑行业的投标报价过程中，如何在众多的信息中选出对最终报价影响较大的几项因素以及如何确定这些因素与最终报价之间的关系是一个棘手的问题．论文针对这两大难题提出了基于神经网络技术的解决方法．首先根据贡献变量分析理论确定出影响报价结果的9个报价因素，从而建立起基于神经网络的报价模型，然后在所确定模型的基础上改进传统的BP算法，进一步提高网络的泛化能力．从实际应用的结果可以看出，经过变量选择后所确定的报价因素是合理的，改进学习算法后的网络的泛化能力也有了很大的提高．     

Isolation and purification of BVⅠ-2H from bee venom and analysis of its biological action

The medical use of bee venom for rheumatoid arthritis ( RA ) has a very long tradition. In this study, isolation and purification of polypeptides from bee venom were carried out on sephadex chromatography, heparin sepharose CL-6B chromatography and HPLC. Several fractions were extracted, and their effects on activation of splenocyte and THP-1 cell were studied. The inhibitory fraction was selected for further studies. Finally, BVⅠ-2H that the HPLC elution profiles was a single peak was isolated by C8 column. ESI- MS detection results showed that BVⅠ-2H was a fraction of bee venom, and the molecular weight of the major component was 644.8. BVⅠ-2H could inhibit ConA-induced splenocyte proliferation, IL-1 production and interfere with splenocyte cycle in mice. Moreover, BVⅠ-2H could inhibit PMA-induced TNFα production in THP-1 cells, which was due to its inhibitory effects on TNFα mRNA expression and protein phosphorylation of IκBα. Our studies indicated that BVⅠ-2H was one of the anti-inflammatory components of bee venom.     

Subset threshold autoregression

We develop in this paper an efficient way to select the best subset threshold autoregressive model. The proposed method uses a stochastic search idea. Differing from most conventional approaches, our method does not require us to fix the delay or the threshold parameters in advance. By adopting the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, we can identify the best subset model from a very large of number of possible models, and at the same time estimate the unknown parameters. A simulation experiment shows that the method is very effective. In its application to the US unemployment rate, the stochastic search method successfully selects lag one as the time delay and five best models from more than 4000 choices. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

L型连续退火炉退火工艺的模拟实验

结合唐钢镀锌线退火炉的工艺特点，热模拟了退火工艺，检验了退火后带钢的力学性能和金相组织，为实际生产提供了理论依据。     

Genetic and photoperiodic control of an avian reproductive cycle

European blackcaps,Sylvia atricapilla, with one breeding season per year, have a single-peaked annual testes cycle. However, African conspecifics from the Cape Verde Islands with two breeding seasons per annum demonstrate a two-peaked cycle. Both population-specific cycles reflect differences in the respective endogenous circannual rhythms. Experimental hybridization of birds of the two populations resulted in an intermediate pattern of testes cycle, thus demonstrating that there are genetic components for some temporal aspects in an avian reproductive cycle. Another characteristic of the African birds, their extremely rapid juvenile development and early sexual maturity (at an age of 5–6 months) proved largely to be a photoperiodic (short-day) effect in birds hatched in autumn. The same effect could also be induced in European conspecifics exposed to correspondingly short day-lengths.