Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

关于函数的连续性与可导性的几点注记

在微积分学中 ,函数的连续性与可导性是函数重要的性质 ,一些特殊的函数在这方面也表现出了特殊的性质 ,本文将对这些性质进行讨论     

基于代理的校园网计费管理系统

根据目前Cernet校园网典型结构,设计了一种适应性广、通用性强的校园网计费管理系统,探讨了使用代理服务器进行计费的主要功能和工作流程.     

对模糊随机向量凸集的定义及探讨

在模糊随机变量的基础上引入了模糊随机向量凸集的概念,给出了几个模糊随机凸集的例子.     

UPS网络控制和电压波形显示的研究

对目前在UPS方面研究的焦点问题作了阐述 ,并重点介绍了UPS网络控制系统的实现方法、系统功能和技术特点     

基于特征造型的注塑件CAD/CAE研究

以某电器零件的特征造型与注塑分析模拟为例，介绍了Pro/Engineer的特点以及在注塑件产品开发中的应用。     

THE TRANSFER BEHAVIOUR OF SOME CATIONS AT WATER／NITROBENZENE INTERFACE BY SEMIDIFFERENTIAL CYCLIC VOLTAMMETRY

The transfer of Sr~(2+) and Ba~(2+) ion, facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase, and of succinylcholine ion at w/nb interface were investigated by semi-differential cyclic voltammetry. A good polarographic curve of succinylcholine ion dissolved in water was obtained in the system of 0.01 mol/l LiCl (w)——0.01 mol/l TBATPB (nb). The peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of SC~(2+) ion. It can be used for the determination of SC and the detection limit is 1.05×10~(-5) mol/l.The apparent D~w and D~(nb) have been estimated. The transfer of Sr~(2+) and of Ba~(2+) at the interface are facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase and the peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of 18-Crown-6 in water. This method can be used for the determination of the complexing agent and for the stability constant of the complex formed in the aqueous phase.All the experimental results are in keeping with the theoretical.     

非线性退缩抛物型方程组初边值问题的可解性

应用上、下解方法证明非线性退缩抛物组初边值问题当1相似文献   

冶炼工业废气中SO_2的脱除研究

研究用软锰矿的水悬浮液脱除冶炼工业废气中SO_2的工艺可行性,提出抑制副产物MnS_2O_6生成的途径。     

新型锆质不定形耐火材料的研制

以废旧电熔锆刚玉为主要原料,采用合理的粒度级配,应用复合结合剂和外加剂以凝聚结合的方式研制成功具有高荷重软化温度、高强度、低气孔率、低烧结线变化的新型锆质不定形耐火材料。图4,表4,参3。