受约聚甲醛的热力学性质研究

采用旋转异构体模型，将受约束聚甲醛(POM)长链等效为约束在圆柱体内，用完全计算法研究受约的聚甲醛链的热力学性质，发现体系的配分函数Z与链长N存在关系：lnZ=aN b，其中N也代表键的数目，a和b仅与温度T和无限长圆柱体的直径D有关．这种方法为研究多链体系的热力学提供一种近似方法。     

2003版建筑给排水规范学习与设计体会

就新规范中住宅给水管管径、引入管阀门设置、水箱进水管和溢水管设置、水箱水位控制、通气管系统设计及地漏的设置等方面谈了作者学习《建筑给水排水设计规范》(GB50015-2003)的体会。     

供需网的一个节点:供应链协同管理与决策

从供应链决策分析、决策支持技术及决策支持方法等几个方面探讨了供应链协同管理决策的理论和方法 .最后以生产商和销售商为例研究了双方共同获利的、协同决策的建模方法 .由此得出 ,为了实现供应链为增值链 ,减少开销 ,双方共同获利 ,协同决策是非常重要的 .     

Technical Notes ：STUDIES ON THE VALUE OF SECONDARY MARKET TO THE SUPPLY CHAIN

This paper investigates the impact of a secondary market, where retailers can buy and sell excessinventories, on the supply chain. We develop a two-period model with a single manufacturer and tworetailers. At the beginning of the first period the retailers order and receive products from themanufacturer, but at the beginning of the second period, they can trade surplus products betweenthemselves in the secondary market. We investigate the impact of the correlated dependence ofretailers' demand on both the quantity effect and the allocation effect under the secondary market.Lastly,we study potential strategies for the manufacturer to increase sales with the existence of thesecondary market.     

论旅游开发对区域生态环境的影响

旅游开发既可能破坏区域生态环境 ,又可以通过促进区域经济发展 ,促进区域生态环境的良性可持续发展 .二者的协调发展是当前我国经济发展中亟需研究解决的新课题     

北京市旅游产业发展战略研究

用灰色系统关联分析方法 ,测算了北京市旅游产业及三个主要旅游行业经济要素对收益的关联序 ,找出了各行业发展的关键因素和优势因素 ,进而以此为依据提出了旅游产业投资的方向和重点 .     

FROM MANUFACTURING SCHEDULING TO SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION：THE CONTROL OF COMPLEXITY AND UNCERTAINTY

With time-based competition and rapid technology advancements, effective manufacturingscheduling and supply chain coordination are critical to quickly respond to changing marketconditions. These problems, however, are difficult in view of inherent complexity and variousuncertainties involved. Based on a series of results by the authors, decomposition and coordination byusing Lagrangian relaxation is identified in this paper as an effective way to control complexity anduncertainty.A manufacturing scheduling problem is first formulated within the job shop context withuncertain order arrivals, processing times, due dates, and part priorities as a separable optimizationproblem. A solution methodology that combines Lagrangian relaxation, stochastic dynamicprogramming, and heuristics is developed. Method improvements to effectively solve large problemsare also highlighted. To extend manufacturing scheduling within a factory to coordinate autonomicmembers across chains of suppliers, a decentralized supply chai     

面向21世纪旅游管理专业人才培养及课程体系的研究

高等院校是培养旅游专业人才特别是中高级管理人才的主要机构，高等院校培养人才是通过教育、科研等一系列活动来实现的。在人才培养方面，教学工作始终是重要栽体，其中培养目标、专业设置、课程体系是保证人才培养质量的重要内容。     

Subset threshold autoregression

We develop in this paper an efficient way to select the best subset threshold autoregressive model. The proposed method uses a stochastic search idea. Differing from most conventional approaches, our method does not require us to fix the delay or the threshold parameters in advance. By adopting the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, we can identify the best subset model from a very large of number of possible models, and at the same time estimate the unknown parameters. A simulation experiment shows that the method is very effective. In its application to the US unemployment rate, the stochastic search method successfully selects lag one as the time delay and five best models from more than 4000 choices. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

对城市供水行业改革的思考

分析了目前各地供水行业改革中遇到的问题,提出了加强政府对供水行业的监管力度,慎重选择投资主体和特许经营者,理顺供水价格调整机制等城市供水行业改革的措施。