用户中继热线自动接续系统

提出以单片机为核心构成自动接续装置,检测程控交换机中继线路的直流状态和交流信号音,实现“热线电话”中继线路的自动接续．     

水光互补基地水库调度图绘制及应用策略

针对水光互补基地调度问题,提出了一种新的水库调度图绘制方法,该方法根据来水频率分组进行水库调度图绘制,并给出了水库调度图的应用策略。澜沧江上游西藏段实例应用结果表明,该方法所得结果符合工程实际要求,有利于电网的稳定运行,提高了混合发电系统的发电效益。     

Shift-contagion in energy markets and global crisis

This paper presents an analysis of shift-contagion in energy markets, testing whether linkages between returns in energy markets increase during crisis periods. The research presented herein demonstrates how common movement between energy markets increases due to (i) shift-contagion across energy markets, reflected by structural transmission of shocks across markets and (ii) larger common shocks operating through standard cross-market interdependences. A regime-switching model was developed to detect shift-contagion across energy markets. In the approach adopted herein, the occurrence of shift-contagion is endogenously estimated rather than being exogenously assigned. The results show that shift-contagion has been a major feature of energy markets over the last decade. Evidence is presented which demonstrates that the linkages between energy markets do not appear to be stable. These results are remarkably accurate for forecasting Brent and natural gas for horizons for up to 50 days. Conversely, for WTI (West Texas Intermediate oil) and coal, the model performs well only for forecasting very short horizons (up to 20 days). For all products, the model shows significant biases for long horizons.     

智能化教学系统中教学模块的设计与应用

简要介绍智能化教学系统及其中各模块的功能,提出对核心模块——教学模块的设计思路,并给出它的工作过程,即教学模块是如何获取最佳教学决策的.最后,总结教学模块在智能化教学系统的重要地位及智能化教学系统的应用前景.     

Forecasting VaR models under Different Volatility Processes and Distributions of Return Innovations

This paper provides clear‐cut evidence that the out‐of‐sample VaR (value‐at‐risk) forecasting performance of alternative parametric volatility models, like EGARCH (exponential general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) or GARCH, and Markov regime‐switching models, can be considerably improved if they are combined with skewed distributions of asset return innovations. The performance of these models is found to be similar to that of the EVT (extreme value theory) approach. The performance of the latter approach can also be improved if asset return innovations are assumed to be skewed distributed. The performance of the Markov regime‐switching model is considerably improved if this model allows for EGARCH effects, for all different volatility regimes considered. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

改进萤火虫算法及其收敛性分析

萤火虫算法因具有结构简单、控制参数少、易于实现的特点而得到广泛的关注和应用,但其易陷入局部最优导致过早收敛,从而影响寻优精度。针对这一问题,本文在位置更新规则中加入随机扰动因子,并剔除了冗余的随机项,以提高算法搜索能力;引入位置置换变异和差分进化算法中的最优变异策略,在保持种群多样性的同时,增强算法跳出局部最优的能力。采用马尔可夫过程证明了算法以概率1收敛到全局最优。利用基准函数和装箱问题对算法进行仿真测试,结果表明,改进后的算法能够有效跳出局部最优,对给出的所有问题均能找到理论最优解,寻优精度和成功率有明显提升。     

当代图书馆的发展模式--复合图书馆

阐释了复合图书馆的含义和作用,分析了复合图书馆存在的必然性,探讨了复合图书馆发展的策略。     

巡线机器人在人造环境中的博弈行为研究

在人造环境中,利用博弈论中的Nash均衡和Nash讨价还价模型,研究两个利益冲突的巡线机器人群体通过不同策略获得收益的行为。     

《天工开物》中信息型科技术语英译策略对比分析

《天工开物》中以传递科学信息为主的术语是中国古代科技文明的重要载体。文章量化描写和定性分析了85条此类信息型科技术语在其三个英译本中的翻译策略,发现李乔苹译本偏好异化,王义静、王海燕和刘迎春译本倾向于译文流畅的归化,任以都、孙守全译本的策略运用情况则介于二者之间,而这很大程度上取决于不同译者对目标受众的定位差异。文章也借此呼吁中国古代科技术语翻译批评遵循客观描写加解释分析的路径。     

民航术语的特征及汉译策略

民航专业文本中的术语是翻译的难点,不规范的翻译往往会导致民航术语译名的混乱。民航术语中频繁出现缩略词、次科技词和合成词,在翻译时,需要根据术语的特征和具体的语境选择合适的翻译方法。民航文本专业性强,术语涉及的领域广,译员需要具备一定的专业背景知识,运用灵活的汉译策略,才能把握住术语的真实含义,做出专业、准确的翻译。