季节性商品供应商的生产库存及定价策略研究

针对需求率对价格敏感的季节性商品,研究了其供应链上制造商为主动调控零售商的采购量、平稳需求及减少库存等而应采用的最佳定价及生产库存策略;给出了寻优的迭代算法和应用实例,说明了所给策略确实能让供应商和销售商获得更多的利润。     

沪市新股发行走价方法探析

在对股票价格与每股净资产、每股收益、行业因素、沪市综合指数关系分析的基础上，以2001年3月1日沪市A股开盘价为准对股价与相关指标进行回归，得到新股上市价格的预测模型。然后，根据新股发行后每股净资产随发行价格的提高而增长这一特点进行求解，求出了全面反映每股净资产、每股收益、行业因素、沪市A股综合指数纳新股上市定价模型，该模型共考虑了5种因素，弥补了新股定价只考虑市盈率单一因素的不足。     

股票期权在我国的实践与思考

简要说明了股票期权制度在我国实践的概况及在我国企业改革中所起的作用，并进一步分析、论述了我国实行股票期权制度的障碍及应采取的对策。     

楔形正挤凹模轮廓的改进

论述了改进楔形凹模轮廓的原理和方法，即通过改变楔形凹模入口的形状，达到降低板坯正挤挤压力的目的，并通过实例与原楔形凹模作了比较．     

东海北部拖虾渔业的现状与设立拖虾休渔期的建议

本文根据近１０年来拖虾调查和虾类资源动态监测资料，分析了拖虾渔业发展的现状和存在问题，并根据虾类资源种类多，分布区域性明显，主要种类的渔场渔期不同，繁殖期、幼虾的时空分布不同等特点，提出设立拖虾休渔期的建议方案。     

股利决策对股价影响的研究

笔者用多元线性回归方法，对股利与股价之间的关系进行了实证研究，其结果显示对股价的影响大小依次为：每股盈利，股标股利和现金股利。     

常规情形的股价短期预测

对常规情形的股价走势作短期预测。所谓常规情形是指无政治、政策、利好、利空等消息影响，投资者依据价位、价位变化率等资料作出买卖决定。主要假设：买家的买入量与即时的价位成反比，与即时的价位上升率成正比。而卖家则相反，卖出量与即时的价位成正比，与即时的价位下降率成正比。据此建立动态的控制方程，即递推公式。由行情资料定出系数后，应用于深圳股市预测和检验，误差约１２％。     

Demonstration Study on the Intrinsic Characteristic of Stock Complex Index on Shanghai Security Market

This paper takes the Shanghai Security market stock composite index as the research object, analyzes its intrinsic fractal essence characteristics by the application of fractal theory and the method, and computes the Hurst index, fractal dimension and correlated function of the highest prices of the complex index. Moreover, it studies characteristics of long term memory of the sample data and its variance along with time; study existence of chaotic attractors in data of the complex index by reconstructing the phase space of the index data. Finally, this paper carries on the related forecast demonstration study to the stock composite index. Results of the study have certain reference function to the actual problem.     

Relationships of the Monetary Policy, Stock Market and Real Investment in China Based on Markov-Switching Model

This paper studies the relationships of the monetary policy, stock market and real investment in China based on Markov-Switching-Vector Error Correction Model. It shows that there is a cointegration relationship among the three ones. We disclose the riddle that the stock market is in recession, but the growth rate of economy is very high in recent years. We also find that Chinese economy operated stably most of the time during the past 8 years. But if the economy is difficult to continue its high growth, it is more likely to appear ＂hard landing＂ than ＂soft landing＂. The impulse response analysis indicates the asymmetry between the ＂too cold＂ economy regime and the ＂too hot＂ regime. And the economy will oscillate during the subsequent time when it is shocked under the ＂too hot＂ regime.     

因子分析在股票论证中的应用

利用SAS软件,对深市537支股票2005年第一季度的八个财务指标进行了因子分析.将八个财务指标浓缩为三个因子,利用主成分法并作方差最大旋转,计算出了因子得分.根据得分多少,对各上市公司的股票作出了综合评价.