带有随机项Barbour单宿主模型正解的存在唯一性和最终有界性

考虑到血吸虫病传播过程受很多随机因素的影响,在Barbour模型的基础上引入随机项,建立血吸虫病随机模型.通过构造Lyapunov函数,利用It?积分证明了该随机系统正解的存在唯一性和最终有界性.     

含分布时滞的变系数退化微分系统解的稳定性

利用Razumikhin定理讨论一类含有分布时滞的变系数退化时滞微分系统解的稳定性,建立了零解稳定性的判定定理.     

模糊随机过程的Itô-Henstock积分

定义和讨论了适应的模糊随机过程关于Brownian运动的模糊Itô-Henstock积分和模糊Itô-McShane积分及其性质,给出了刻画定理,并讨论了两者之间的相互关系。结果表明,当模糊Itô-Henstock积分原函数Itô 绝对连续时,模糊Itô-Henstock积分和模糊Itô-McShane积分等价。     

基于平稳分布的随机恒化器动力学分析

基于平稳分布,研究了一类带有参数扰动的随机恒化器模型的空间动力学行为。首先,利用微分方程的基本理论,求出微生物种群平稳分布概率密度函数的完全表达式;然后,对于所得的平稳分布密度函数的形态进行分析,发现噪声在很大程度上将改变原有确定性恒化器模型的动力学行为,而且最大概率平衡点会随噪声强度的改变而改变,呈现出较为复杂的动力学行为;最后,通过一组文献中的实验数值进行模拟分析,所得结论与理论结果一致。研究恒化器模型的主要目的是研究其中微生物的生存分布,对这一问题进行深入的研究,可为相关从业工作者提供较为完善的理论依据。     

原始方程组对黏性系数的连续依赖性

考虑了柱形区域上带振荡随机力的大尺度海洋三维原始方程组的连续依赖性。运用微分不等式技术,推导了方程组解的先验界,采取能量分析的办法,得到了方程组的解对黏性系数的连续依赖性。     

Multicategory Purchase Incidence Models for Partitions of Product Categories

We analyze multicategory purchases of households by means of heterogeneous multivariate probit models that relate to partitions formed from a total of 25 product categories. We investigate both prior and post hoc partitions. We search model structures by a stochastic algorithm and estimate models by Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. The best model in terms of cross‐validated log‐likelihood refers to a post hoc partition with two groups; the second‐best model considers all categories as one group. Among prior partitions with at least two category groups a five‐group model performs best. Effects on average basket value differ for the model with five prior category groups from those for the best‐performing model in 40% and 24% of the investigated categories for features and displays, respectively. In addition, the model with five prior category groups also underestimates total sales revenue across all categories by about 28%. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

慢时变线性模型参数辨识递推算法及收敛性分析

针对慢时变线性模型,给出辨识的递推算法,并证明该算法能够保证参数收敛在一个有界空间区域,该区域包含参数真值集合;若工作点不发生变化,合理的收敛因子保证参数收敛到对应真值.在实际应用中,工业对象可以利用慢时变线性模型表示,因此该递推算法能够确保工业对象模型实时更新以跟踪工况的变化.通过实例仿真可以看出,该递推算法能够保证慢时变线性模型参数有效更新,并较为准确估计输出变量.     

基于一种扩展模糊Petri网的列车运行晚点致因建模分析

针对目前我国列车运行晚点较严重的问题,提出一种扩展的模糊Petri网(extended fuuzy Petri net,EFPN),并以对列车正点运行有重大影响的主要因素为基础,模拟给出其因果关系,建立了基于EFPN的列车运行致因的分析模型,利用EFPN推理算法分析计算模型中某个致因因素导致列车运行晚点的真实度,真实度最高的致因因素则是导致列车运行晚点的最主要因素.实例分析表明,EFPN模型能够体现各因素之间的逻辑关系,通过定量分析可得到导致列车运行晚点的主要原因.     

Ho∞-based fault detection for nonlinear networked systems with random packet dropout and probabilistic interval delay

The fault detection problem for the nonlinear networked control system (NCS) with packet dropout and delay is investigated.A nonlinear stochastic system model is proposed to account for the NCS with random packet dropout and networkinduced non-uniformly distributed time-varying delay in both from sensor to controller (S/C) and from controller to actuator (C/A).Based on the obtained NCS model,employing an observer-based fault detection filter as the residual generator,the addressed fault detection problem is converted into an auxiliary nonlinear H∞ control problem.Then,with the help of Lyapunov functional approach,a sufficient condition for the desired fault detection filter is constructed in terms of certain linear matrix inequalities,which depend on not only the delay interval but also the delay interval occurrence rate and successful packet communication rate.Especially,a trade-off phenomenon between the maximum allowable delay bound and successful data packet transmission rate is found,which is typically resulted from the limited bandwidth of communication networks.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by a simulation example.     

无穷水平倒向双重随机微分方程解的存在唯一性及比较定理

研究无穷区间上的倒向双重随机微分方程,在一类Lipschitz条件下,通过有限区间的逼近,运用Gronwall不等式和It公式,证明了方程解的存在性、唯一性以及比较定理.