Estimation and testing of time-varying coefficient regression models in the presence of linear restrictions

A linear regression model with random walk coefficients is extended to allow for linear restrictions between the coefficients to be satisfied at each point in time. Estimation in this model is shown to be no more involved than estimation in the standard model. It is also demonstrated how, after a slight modification to the testing problem, classical test procedures may be applied to the problem of testing for such restrictions. The performance of the Lagrange Multiplier test for a variety of different restrictions is then investigated via simulation. An empirical application involving testing for homogeneity in a random walk coefficient version of the AIDS model is given.     

复线电气化区段施工感应电对人体的危害及防护对策

感应电会对人体造成伤害。从电磁感应和静电感应原理入手，分析了产生感应电的过程，并就如何防止感应电的危害提出了防护对策，有一定实用价值。     

吸附树脂对对甲苯胺的静态吸附行为及其热力学性质的研究

对比 Amberlite XAD-4与两种新型吸附树脂 NK和新 H对对甲苯胺的静态吸附行为 ,根据吸附等温线研究并讨论吸附热力学性质 .两种新型吸附树脂对对甲苯胺的吸附能力明显强于 Amberlite XAD-4 ,微孔作用机制及表面部分极性起决定作用 .吸附焓变 ΔH<0表明吸附为放热过程 ,降低温度有利于吸附 .对吸附焓变和自由能变的讨论同时表明树脂对对甲苯胺的吸附为多层物理吸附过程 .吸附熵变 ΔS表明吸附树脂表面的不均匀性和吸附质分子在树脂表面的分布及其局域运动与吸附有密切关系 .     

Java字节代码程序的部分计值

为了有效地构造一个Java部分计值器，并且形式化地描述计值规则，提出了Java字节代码程序的静态语义，在此基础上构造了一个online的Java部分计值器，为今后能够建立一个完善而且实用的计值器提供了基础。     

复合支护结构核爆冲击波等效静载的不确定性分析

根据中值点处展开的一次二阶矩法讨论了土中压缩波的升压时间及其不确定性，然后研究了按单自由度体系进行复合支护地下结构抗核爆设计时的动力系数（荷载系数）和等效静载的变异系数．数值结果表明，土中压缩波升压时间的不确定性，不仅与结构埋深和土参数的变异性有关，而且与土参数的均值有关，等效静载的不确定性，依赖于作用于结构上的动载变异性和结构自振频率变异性，而动载不确定性对等效静载变异性影响最大     

由计算机等级考试探析民族院校的计算机基础教学

以中央民族大学非计算机专业学生参加计算机等级考试为实例,分析探讨了民族院校非计算机专业计算机基础教学中存在的问题、学生学习情况的差距以及原因,并就此提出了一些切实可行的改进方法.     

自级联式感应电动机控制系统的研制

描述了自级联式感应电动机的数学模型及其控制系统的结构,研制成功该类电机矢量控制系统样机.根据实验结果,分析了其动态和静态品质,得出此种类型电机控制系统完全可以达到与直流电动机控制系统相同性能的结论,提出了自级联式感应电动机进一步的应用前景.     

水泥处理的沉积淤泥膨胀试验及其矿物机理分析

为研究经过水泥掺合处理的河道沉积淤泥作为路基填料的膨胀性能，对不同初始含水量（质量分数分别为90％，130％和170％）的淤泥经不同掺合比（按湿质量计分别为9％，11％和13％）的水泥处理后形成的多种不同的水泥土试样进行了为期一个月的初次膨胀试验及试样干燥三个月后重新浸水的二次膨胀试验。试验结果表明试样的初次膨胀值很不显著，但二次浸水膨胀试验表明试样的总膨胀量有增大的趋势。试样的X射线衍射分析从矿物形成方面解释了水泥土膨胀性能的内在机理。     

指数场合下定时截尾加速寿命试验优化设计的比较

本文讨论了定时截尾情况下K个应力恒加试验和步加试验的最优设计问题，在一定条件下证明了最优步加试验优于最优恒加试验，推广了[5]的结果。     

Preface

Different from traditional tax audit, supervision with self-audit is a combination of audit by the taxpayer himself and audit by the tax authority. This paper mainly studies a taxpayer’s optimal policy of tax evasion under supervision with self-audit and its related properties, in order to deduce some effective suggestions and theoretical bases to restrain tax evasion. Assuming that only a certain proportion of evaded tax can be discovered when the audit is executed, the authors first formulate a static model with self-audit. This model is divided into two stages. At the first stage, taxpayers declare their taxes, then the tax authority chooses audit objects, based on a known probability, and announces the result; if the taxpayer is chosen, he will enter the second stage, during which he has a chance to pay the evaded tax and the corresponding late fees and then is audited by the tax authority. The authors show the existence and uniqueness of the optimal amount of tax evasion at the first stage and the optimal proportion to self-expose at the second stage. The authors also discuss the related properties of the interior solution, and do elasticity analyses on some parameters. Besides, the authors extend the static model into the corresponding two-period model, and study the existence and uniqueness of the solution of the extended model. Finally, under the assumption that tax evasion can only be discovered with a certain probability when the audit is executed, the authors formulate another static model with self-audit and investigate its properties. This research is partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 60674082, 70221001, and 70731003.