ETFE双层气枕计算分析及比较

基于U.L.格式的非线性有限单元法,编制了ETFE双层气枕找形分析、受荷分析的计算程序,并选取圆形、正六边形、正三角形、菱形及正方形5种工程中常用的气枕作为计算模型进行对比分析.在找形分析时,将矢高、内压和初始张力作为控制参数进行计算并依次给出了三者之间的相互关系.在受荷分析时,考虑6种给定的荷载工况,计算了ETFE气枕体积、内压的变动以及膜面的主应力.数值计算结果表明,形状与圆形相差较大的双层气枕其力学性能变化明显.在气枕的体积和内压变化不大时,可直接根据气枕上层膜面的主应力判定气枕的工作状态.     

The US Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate: Structural Modeling and Forecasting During the Recent Financial Crises

The paper investigates the determinants of the US dollar/euro within the framework of the asset pricing theory of exchange rate determination, which posits that current exchange rate fluctuations are determined by the entire path of current and future revisions in expectations about fundamentals. In this perspective, we innovate by conditioning on Fama–French and Carhart risk factors, which directly measures changing market expectations about the economic outlook, on new financial condition indexes and macroeconomic variables. The macro‐finance augmented econometric model has a remarkable in‐sample and out‐of‐sample predictive ability, largely outperforming a standard autoregressive specification. We also document a stable relationship between the US dollar/euro Carhart momentum conditional correlation (CCW) and the euro area business cycle. CCW signals a progressive weakening in economic conditions since June 2014, consistent with the scattered recovery from the sovereign debt crisis and the new Greek solvency crisis exploded in late spring/early summer 2015. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Dynamic Model Averaging and CPI Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison between the Euro Area and the United States

The paper forecasts consumer price inflation in the euro area (EA) and in the USA between 1980:Q1 and 2012:Q4 based on a large set of predictors, with dynamic model averaging (DMA) and dynamic model selection (DMS). DMA/DMS allows not solely for coefficients to change over time, but also for changes in the entire forecasting model over time. DMA/DMS provides on average the best inflation forecasts with regard to alternative approaches (such as the random walk). DMS outperforms DMA. These results are robust for different sample periods and for various forecast horizons. The paper highlights common features between the USA and the EA. First, two groups of predictors forecast inflation: temporary fundamentals that have a frequent impact on inflation but only for short time periods; and persistent fundamentals whose switches are less frequent over time. Second, the importance of some variables (particularly international food commodity prices, house prices and oil prices) as predictors for consumer price index inflation increases when such variables experience large shocks. The paper also shows that significant differences prevail in the forecasting models between the USA and the EA. Such differences can be explained by the structure of these respective economies. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于UDEC巷道掘进矿压显现的数值模拟

通过采用UDEC软件,依据钻孔柱状图和采掘应力影响范围建立了相应的几何模型,根据煤岩体物理力学性质建立相应的材料模型,在此基础上结合地应力数据,从而完成数值模型.通过模拟实际巷道开挖尺寸及方位,得出巷道前方的应力分布和巷道两帮位移分布,为巷道冲击地压显现防治提供了理论支持.     

基于多尺度光流融合特征点视觉-惯性SLAM方法

为提高视觉-惯性导航系统在弱纹理环境下的鲁棒性和精度,结合特征点法精度高和光流法速度快的特点以及惯性信息,提出一种多尺度均匀化光流融合特征点法的视觉-惯性同时定位与地图(simultaneous localization and mapping, SLAM)构建方法。首先,改进快速特征点提取和描述(oriented fast and rotated brief, ORB)特征提取过程,采用多尺度网格化的方法提取ORB特征点并利用四叉树均匀分配特征点,提高特征分布离散性。其次,在帧间采用LK(Lucas and Kanade)光流法追踪特征点进行帧间的数据关联,在关键帧对特征点进行描述子的计算和匹配从而实现关键帧间的数据关联,保证算法速度的同时提高定位精度和鲁棒性。最后,基于光流法建立的数据关联得到的初始位姿为后端优化提供初始值,整合ORB特征点重投影误差、惯性测量单元(inertial measurement unit, IMU)预积分误差以及滑动窗口先验误差构建最小化目标函数采用滑动窗口非线性优化进行求解。实验表明,所提方法相比单目视觉惯性系统具有更高的定位精度和鲁棒性,定位精度平均...     

能量有效的NOMA多用户-多信道匹配算法

针对非理想信道状态信息(channel state information, CSI)下面向海量用户的无线资源高效分配难题,通过引入非正交多址(non-orthogonal multiple access, NOMA)技术提出了一种能量有效的多用户-多信道匹配方案。首先,考虑用户中断概率约束,建立以最大化系统能量效率为目标的非理想CSI蜂窝下行NOMA系统信道和功率联合分配优化问题;然后,将建立的含概率约束的优化问题转化为非概率约束优化问题,并从中解耦出用户-信道匹配优化问题;最后,将面向能量效率的NOMA用户-信道匹配优化问题映射为婚姻匹配问题,进而提出一种高效低复杂度的双边匹配算法实现了多用户-多信道的动态匹配。仿真结果表明,提出的匹配算法性能优于传统匹配算法,能够提供更高的系统能效、实现更低的用户中断概率且收敛速度更快。     

状态空间法分析厚薄圆柱壳弯曲的多变量场

根据圆柱壳的控制方程及其混合变分原理 ,引入对偶变量即应力与位移作为状态变量 ,导出圆柱壳的状态方程 ,研究其解法。对于轴对称问题 ,应用分离变量法建立指数矩阵 ,将问题分解为两个一维问题。根据开莱 -哈密顿算法或直接展形法来计算指数矩阵 ,再根据应力与位移的边界条件 ,得到问题的定解方程 ,从而求得厚薄圆柱壳的两类场变量的统一解 ,即全部应力与位移量     

COSMOS/M 有限元程序在 Tokamak 装置设计中的应用

概述了有限元技术及其在Ｔｏｋａｍａｋ装置工程设计中应用的最新发展动态。对新一代面向微型计算机的大型结构有限元分析程序ＣＯＳＭＯＳ／Ｍ作了较全面的剖析，并给出了应用该程序对核聚变实验装置中大型机械结构强度分析的应用实例。     

煤粉炉内扩散火焰关于大尺度涡的“砂轮”效应初探

以110MW、四角切向喷射的煤粉动力锅炉为对象,借助CFX4.2软件,在α-250工作站对该型锅炉的燃烧过程开展了数据模拟研究,研究发现：在该型炉膛内存在某种由准强制涡和准自由涡所组成的涡结果,这些涡均属于大尺度涡（非亚格子涡）;在这些准强制涡和准自由涡即大尺度涡之间以及某些涡与固壁或涡与喷射气流之间因扩散燃烧及强剪切而导致局部火焰增强现象即所谓“砂轮”效应,从Zeldovich转换和广义Reynolds比拟及粘性耗散的角度,定性地分析了这一效应。